Abstract:Although climate change is currently affecting the distribution of many species, insects are particularly impacted because of their high sensitivity to temperature. The pine processionary moth, Thaumetopoea pityocampa, is a forest insect extending its distribution in response to climate warming. Some pioneer colonies were recently detected far beyond the main range, near Paris and in eastern France. This study tracked the origin and pathways of these pioneer colonies through a combined use of genetic markers, … Show more
“…The distribution of PPM is controlled by the minimum winter temperatures (Huchon and Demolin 1970), and the species range is currently expanding northward and in elevation due to climate change (Battisti et al 2005;Robinet et al 2007). Since the early 90s, the PPM's range has expanded towards north of France without being noticeably affected by the presence of large wide open-field areas such as the Beauce region (Roques et al 2015a) despite limited female dispersal ability (Robinet et al 2012) (Fig. 1).…”
Section: Model Species and Study Sitementioning
confidence: 99%
“…3a). Figure 3b shows experimental data illustrating the flight abilities of female moths in the laboratory (data from Robinet et al 2012). From this barplot, it can be seen that more than 54 % of female moths fly between 0 and 1 km; 16.21 % fly a distance between 1 and 2 km, while this proportion is 13.51 % for distances ranging from 2 to 3 km.…”
Section: Descriptive Statistics In the Inventory Plotmentioning
“…The distribution of PPM is controlled by the minimum winter temperatures (Huchon and Demolin 1970), and the species range is currently expanding northward and in elevation due to climate change (Battisti et al 2005;Robinet et al 2007). Since the early 90s, the PPM's range has expanded towards north of France without being noticeably affected by the presence of large wide open-field areas such as the Beauce region (Roques et al 2015a) despite limited female dispersal ability (Robinet et al 2012) (Fig. 1).…”
Section: Model Species and Study Sitementioning
confidence: 99%
“…3a). Figure 3b shows experimental data illustrating the flight abilities of female moths in the laboratory (data from Robinet et al 2012). From this barplot, it can be seen that more than 54 % of female moths fly between 0 and 1 km; 16.21 % fly a distance between 1 and 2 km, while this proportion is 13.51 % for distances ranging from 2 to 3 km.…”
Section: Descriptive Statistics In the Inventory Plotmentioning
“…Pero si entendemos la agrupación de los hospedadores a una escala espacial algo más amplia, una cierta continuidad en los pinares favorece la infección de los parches locales cercanos, ya que aunque la mariposa puede eventualmente hacer vuelos de larga distancia, la mayor parte de sus movimientos son de corta o muy corta distancia (Robinet et al 2012). …”
Section: El Diablo Está En Los Detalles: No Es Solo El Climaunclassified
“…3). Tengamos en cuenta que la capacidad de vuelo de la mariposa de la procesionaria es usualmente pequeña (Robinet et al 2012) y, sobre todo, que su tiempo de selección de lugar de puesta es muy limitado, ya que suele aparearse y ovopositar en la misma noche de su emergencia. Añadamos a esto que, como perteneciente a la familia Notodontidae, su capacidad auditiva es reducida en comparación con otras familias de lepidópteros nocturnos, lo que la hace muy susceptible al ataque por murciéla-gos mientras está en vuelo.…”
Section: Controlar El Hábitat Para Controlar a La Plagaunclassified
“…to spread towards east. Furthermore, it could be transported accidentally to available pine stands as it has happened to T. pityocampa in France (Robinet et al 2012). Apart from these possibilities, shifting host preference is the main reason of pestiferous organisms being such an overwhelming diversity today and it should never be ignored in future management plans.…”
85 | A Ç Ü O r m a n F a k D e r g 1 5 ( 2 ) Europe and proved to expand its range towards northern latitudes; there is a lack of knowledge about species current and future status through Turkey, especially Artvin and adjacent regions (Eastern Black Sea Region) where it has not have much effect yet. In this study, we aimed to predict PPM's current and future distribution through Artvin and adjacent regions by using Maximum Entropy Modeling (Maxent) software. We used 65 sampling points in conjunction with 7 climatic variables that were least intercorrelated and with greatest significant contribution to the distribution model. As the statistical tests showed that the fit of the generated model is good, we further carried on using this model for future predictions. Our results indicated that PPM would expand its range towards Artvin and adjacent regions.
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