How will Brexit affect the patterns of European agricultural and food exports?

Abstract

We analyse how Brexit will affect European agrifood trade using a structural gravity model and by comparing the present deal to four alternative scenarios on the UK’s trade policy. European Union (EU) countries will suffer marginal drops in imports, exports and real income, with stronger effects for Ireland. EU exports to the UK will drop by 10 per cent. European products will be redirected to both intra-EU and extra-EU markets and sold at slightly lower prices. Meat products will suffer the largest losses, Ireland being particularly vulnerable due to strong interconnections with British production chains and increased costs for accessing EU and extra-EU markets.

Research on the Influencing Factors of Cross-border E-commerce Development of Fresh Agricultural Products under the Internet Environment

“…The huge market potential of cross-border e-commerce of fresh agricultural products has inspired a boom in research on it, and the number of studies related to it has been increasing year by year from 2015 to the present. However, due to the novelty of the concept of fresh agricultural products crossborder e-commerce, the current research on it is still in its infancy, and it mostly focuses on theoretical generalization or analyzes it with a certain influencing factor or a certain angle as an entry point, and few scholars comprehensively analyze the factors that restrict the development of fresh agricultural products cross-border e-commerce from the perspective of the performance of the enterprises of fresh agricultural products cross-border e-commerce [9][10][11].…”