How Urban Resilience Can Change Cities: A System Dynamics Model Approach

Datola, Giulia; Bottero, Marta; Angelis, Elena De

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-24305-0_9

Cited by 17 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 44 publications

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“…For these reasons, the public administration is actually interested in intervening to improve the general condition of this area [85]. Thus, this paper proposes the application of the integrated approach to simulate the possible effects and impacts of an Inertial and a Strategic scenario, in terms of changing of the urban resilience performance over time [50]. The area of Basse di Stura has been examined through a multi-dimensional and multi-perspective approach [49].…”

Section: Basse DI Stura Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this sense, the changing over time of the soil consumption simulation is the result of the combination of the current soil consumption at the year 0 ( Figure 12) plus the new construction. Furthermore, other specific equations have been developed to implement the SDM to simulate both the possible impacts and influence in enhancing urban resilience over time of the two scenarios considered (Strategic and Inertial) [50].…”

Section: Stock and Flow Diagrammentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For this purpose, this paper illustrates the application of the proposed approach to analyze and evaluate two different scenarios (Inertial and Strategic) developed for a downgraded area in the city of Turin (Northern Italy) [47][48][49], in terms of their possible impacts on urban resilience performance over time [50].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A System Dynamics Model and Analytic Network Process: An Integrated Approach to Investigate Urban Resilience

Bottero¹,

Datola²,

Angelis³

2020

Land

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During the last decade, the concept of urban resilience has been increasingly implemented in urban planning, with the main aim to design urban development strategies. Urban resilience is a multi-dimensional and dynamic concept. When applied to urban planning, it consists of studying cities as complex socio-economic systems. Municipalities are currently working to undertake appropriate actions to enrich the resilience of cities. Moreover, several difficulties concern the evaluation of the impacts over time of the strategies designed to enhance urban resilience. The present paper proposes an integrated approach based on the System Dynamics Model (SDM) and the Analytic Network Process (ANP). The objective of this research is to describe the method and to illustrate its application to the area called Basse di Stura, located in the city of Turin, Italy. The method is applied to evaluate the possible impacts of two different urban scenarios in terms of the change of urban resilience performance over time. The final result is represented by an index that describes urban resilience performance.

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Section: Basse DI Stura Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Stock and Flow Diagrammentioning

confidence: 99%

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A System Dynamics Model and Analytic Network Process: An Integrated Approach to Investigate Urban Resilience

Bottero¹,

Datola²,

Angelis³

2020

Land

Self Cite

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“…In particular, for the sixth one, an interactive and adaptive process, as well as the adoption of precaution and adaptation actions to climate change [55][56][57] are essentially missing in the case studies analyzed. Constant monitoring systems should be developed in order to avoid climate change impact and risks [58].…”

Section: Theoretical and Empirical Indicatorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable Cities: A Reflection on Potentialities and Limits based on Existing Eco-Districts in Europe

et al. 2019

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The need for more sustainable cities has become a primary objective of urban strategies. The urgency for a radical transition towards sustainability in a long term-vision has brought with it several new concepts, such as smart urbanism, and models, such as smart city, eco-city, sustainable neighborhood, eco-district, etc. While these terms are fascinating and visionary, they often lack a clear definition both in terms of theoretical insight and empirical evidence. In this light, this contribution aims at defining a conceptual framework through which to further substantiate the blurred concept of eco-district and sustainable neighborhood. It does so by reviewing the concepts of smart urbanism and sustainable neighborhood/eco-districts in the literature, including also references to other well-known sustainability-oriented models of urban development. It then explores whether several indicators, emerging from the analysis of exemplary case studies of sustainable neighborhoods in Europe, can be used to clearly identify the characteristics of a sustainable approach at the district scale. The analysis, built on a review of existing literature, allows for both the clarification of several issues related to these fields of inquiry, as well as for the identification of the potential bridges to link these issues.

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“…Cities and territories across the world are increasingly exposed to a number of risks, hazards and stresses [1,2]. These affect all urban system dimensions, from the environmental to the social and economic [3,4]. Therefore, the concept of resilience is increasingly being used in urban and territorial policy in order to prepare urban systems for hazards and uncertainties [2,5,6].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamic Models for Exploring the Resilience in Territorial Scenarios

et al. 2019

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The present paper focuses on the role covered by dynamic models as support for the decision-making process in the evaluation of policies and actions for increasing the resilience of cities and territories. In recent decades, urban resilience has been recognized as a dynamic and multidimensional phenomenon that characterizes urban and metropolitan area dynamics. Therefore, it may be considered a fundamental aspect of urban and territorial planning. The employment of quantitative methods, such as dynamic models, is useful for the prediction of the dynamic behavior of territories and of their resilience. The present work discusses the system dynamics model and the Lotka-Volterra cooperative systems and shows how these models can aid technicians in resilience assessment and also decision makers in the definition of policies and actions, especially if integrated in wide evaluation frameworks for urban resilience achievements. This paper aims to provide an epistemological perspective of the application of dynamic models in resilience assessment, underlying the possible contribution to this issue through the analysis of a real case study and methodological framework. The main objective of this work is to lay the basis for future compared applications of these two models to the same case study.in order to underline dynamic model (DM) features that are closely related to the decision-making process in territorial and urban planning [11]. DMs are recognized as suitable tools to evaluate policies and actions aimed at increasing urban resilience [12][13][14]. This property is related to the fact that these models are built and grounded on dimensions related to both urban systems and urban resilience. In fact, during the construction of the model, it is necessary to select and identify which aspects of a territorial system have to be included with reference to the evaluation goal, from the environmental to the economic dimension [11,12,15]. In this sense, DMs are able to reveal both the dynamic behavior of urban and territorial systems and the impacts of policies on the key variables identified.Specifically, the main aim of this work is to study the principal characteristics of the system dynamics model (SDM) and Lotka-Volterra models (LV) in order to apply both to the same case study. The final purpose of this investigation is to understand the importance of the modelling approach in the field of resilience evaluation.The paper is structured as follows: Section 2 describes the current state of the art of resilience and urban resilience; Section 3 explains the role of dynamic models-the system dynamic models (SDM) and Lotka-Volterra models (LV)-in the decision-making process and summarizes their methodological background, state of art and some illustrative examples; Section 4 explains how the SDM models and LV models could contribute to urban planning; a comparative matrix is developed to investigate the utility of the considered models in predicting support in the design of future transformation scenarios; and Section 5 incl...

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How Urban Resilience Can Change Cities: A System Dynamics Model Approach

Cited by 17 publications

References 44 publications

A System Dynamics Model and Analytic Network Process: An Integrated Approach to Investigate Urban Resilience

A System Dynamics Model and Analytic Network Process: An Integrated Approach to Investigate Urban Resilience

Sustainable Cities: A Reflection on Potentialities and Limits based on Existing Eco-Districts in Europe

Dynamic Models for Exploring the Resilience in Territorial Scenarios

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