A deep and rapid de-carbonisation of the world's energy systems is essential to meeting international goals for addressing climate change. But what is the role of the climate regime in facilitating such transitions? How do assumptions built into existing climate policy about how, when, why and for whom energy transitions are unfolding relate to practice on the ground?How far do they help or hinder the critical task of supporting and orchestrating society-wide efforts to reduce fossil fuel use? In this paper, we examine how core assumptions concerning the role of the nation state, of carbon markets and finance, and of technology built into international climate policy are being challenged by the realities of how transitions in the energy systems are unfolding. Drawing on the critical region of Sub-Saharan Africa and empirical research in Mozambique and South Africa, we examine the challenges facing energy transitions and the potential for international climate policy to foster new trajectories towards decarbonisation.
Policy RelevanceThe international regime for climate policy has been in place for some twenty years. Despite significant changes in the landscape of energy systems and drivers of global GHG emissions over this time, the core principles and tools remain relatively stable -national governments, carbon markets, project-based climate finance and the transfer of technological hardware.Given the diversity of actors and drivers and the limited direct reach and influence of international climate policy, however, there is an urgent need to consider how the climate regime can best support the embryonic transitions in the provision of energy, transport, industry, agriculture and housing that are slowly taking form around the world. To do this effectively, we have argued, requires a more nuanced understanding of the role of state in governing transitions beyond notions of a cohesive state serving as rule-enforcer and transition manager. It also requires a broader view of technology, not just as hardware that is transferred, but as a set of practices and networks of expertise and enabling actors. And while markets have an important role to play as vehicles for achieving broader ends, they are not an end in themselves. Finally on finance, while acknowledging the important role of climate aid, often as a multiplier or facilitator of more ambitious private, flows, it is critical to differentiate between the types of finance required for different transitions, some of which will be counted 3 under the climate regime and directed by it, but the majority of which will not. In sum, the (low) carbon economy is being built in ways and in numerous sites that the climate regime needs to be cognisant of and engage with productively, and this may require fundamental reconsideration of the building blocks of the international climate regime.