2013
DOI: 10.1080/02673037.2013.803041
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Home Foreclosures and Neighborhood Crime Dynamics

Abstract: We advance scholarship related to home foreclosures and neighborhood crime by employing Granger causality tests and multilevel growth modeling with annual data from Chicago neighborhoods over the 1998-2009 period. We find that completed foreclosures temporally lead property crime and not vice versa. More completed foreclosures during a year both increase the level of property crime and slow its decline subsequently. This relationship is strongest in higher-income, predominantly renter-occupied neighborhoods, c… Show more

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Cited by 37 publications
(27 citation statements)
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“…Within this context, it is possible to observe links between the spatial concentration of foreclosures and falling property values at the neighborhood level [22][23][24][25][26]. Relationships have also been observed with increases in crime rates [27][28][29][30][31] and racial segregation [32,33]. Several studies have also focused on the negative effects that increases in the number of foreclosures have had on public health [34][35][36][37] and on how different groups of local residents perceive the quality of life in their respective neighborhoods [38].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Within this context, it is possible to observe links between the spatial concentration of foreclosures and falling property values at the neighborhood level [22][23][24][25][26]. Relationships have also been observed with increases in crime rates [27][28][29][30][31] and racial segregation [32,33]. Several studies have also focused on the negative effects that increases in the number of foreclosures have had on public health [34][35][36][37] and on how different groups of local residents perceive the quality of life in their respective neighborhoods [38].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our study therefore attempted to address this with city-level fixed effects, which account for unchanging effects of crime levels on foreclosures. Another study attempted to address this question with longitudinal data in Chicago neighborhoods (about 10 tracts per neighborhood) from 1998-2009 and found that foreclosures temporally led to more property crime, but found no evidence that higher property crime rates led to more foreclosures (Williams, Galster, and Verma 2013). Nonetheless, the direction of causality in our study should be treated with caution.…”
mentioning
confidence: 53%
“…Whereas some cross-sectional studies have found a positive relationship between foreclosures and violent crime (Cui 2010;Ellen, Lacoe, and Sharygin 2013;Immergluck and Smith 2006;Stucky, Ottensmann, and Payton 2012) or foreclosures and property crime (Cui 2010;Stucky, Ottensmann, and Payton 2012;Teasdale, Clark, and Hinkle 2011), one study found no effect on property crime (Immergluck and Smith 2006) and another study suggested that the foreclosure and crime relationship is spurious once taking into account other neighborhood characteristics (Kirk and Hyra 2012). Studies using longitudinal data have found that more foreclosures lead to higher property crime rates Williams, Galster, and Verma 2013), but the evidence is mixed for violent crime Williams, 7 Galster, and Verma 2013). Given that Baumer and colleagues note that "…conclusions about the role of foreclosures in generating higher neighborhood crime rates are sensitive to the broader city context in which they occur" (Baumer, Wolff, and Arnio 2012: 597), the present study focuses on how the larger city context might impact the overall level of crime depending on the level of foreclosures.…”
Section: Foreclosures and Crimementioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Wilson and Paulsen 2008;Kirk and Hyra 2012;Wallace et al 2012;Ellen et al 2013;Katz, et al 2013;Williams et al 2013;Wolff et al 2013). Universally, the foreclosure process involves several steps that occur over an extended period of time.…”
Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%