2010
DOI: 10.1007/s10552-010-9708-1
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Has the lung cancer risk from smoking increased over the last fifty years?

Abstract: BackgroundWe examine whether the lung cancer risk due to smoking has increased over time.MethodsLung cancer risk equations based on prospective mortality data collected from 1960 to 1972 were applied to 5-year birth-cohort-specific estimates of smoking behaviors among white males to estimate lung cancer mortality rates for U.S. white males from 1960 to 2000. These estimated rates were compared to U.S. white male mortality rates for the same birth cohorts.ResultsObserved birth-cohort-specific U.S. lung cancer m… Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(19 citation statements)
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“…In addition, cigarette content of tobacco‐specific nitrosamines increased between 17% and 73% from 1978 to 1995 when measured under standard FTC smoking conditions . Furthermore, these changes may explain the shift in smoking‐related lung cancer incidence from squamous cell to adenocarcinoma . However, while smoking‐related lung cancer has increased, average sales‐weighted tar yield decreased by 44% between 1968 and 1998 (See Document ID yqpk0154, page 10).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In addition, cigarette content of tobacco‐specific nitrosamines increased between 17% and 73% from 1978 to 1995 when measured under standard FTC smoking conditions . Furthermore, these changes may explain the shift in smoking‐related lung cancer incidence from squamous cell to adenocarcinoma . However, while smoking‐related lung cancer has increased, average sales‐weighted tar yield decreased by 44% between 1968 and 1998 (See Document ID yqpk0154, page 10).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…11,32,33 Increasing risk in both sexes may partly be attributed to changes in cigarette design and composition in the past 50 years. 11,12,[34][35][36][37][38] For example, filtered cigarettes, which were introduced in the 1950s, are associated with deeper inhalation and smaller particle size of smoke, which may increase the deposition of tobacco carcinogens throughout the airway. 12,36,37,39,40 In addition, cigarette content of tobacco-specific nitrosamines increased between 17% and 73% from 1978 to 1995 when measured under standard FTC smoking conditions.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The trends in female histological type and smoking also support this hypothesis as ADC is the only common type of cancer in the female population, which experienced a later increase in smoking prevalence correlating with the shift in cigarette manufacturing trends. Besides deeper inhalation of the smoke of low tar cigarettes with ventilated filters, also the smaller particles in side stream smoke (PAHs adsorbed on larger surface and penetrating deeper into the lung) and the nitrosamines in blended burley tobacco have been associated with the worldwide increase of ADC [27]. …”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, filter vented American blend cigarettes produce higher levels of tobacco-specific nitrosamines (Gray et al, 2000;Hoffmann, Djordjevic, & Hoffmann, 1997). This and the deeper puffing have been linked to an increase in the incidence of adenocarcinoma that has occurred since their introduction (Burns, Anderson, & Gray, 2011a, 2011b.…”
Section: Evolution Of the Modern Cigarettementioning
confidence: 99%