Abstract. The mass of the Greenland ice sheet is declining as mass gain from snow
accumulation is exceeded by mass loss from surface meltwater runoff,
marine-terminating glacier calving and submarine melting, and basal
melting. Here we use the input–output (IO) method to estimate mass change from 1840 through next week. Surface mass balance (SMB) gains and losses come from
a semi-empirical SMB model from 1840 through 1985 and three regional climate models (RCMs; HIRHAM/HARMONIE, Modèle Atmosphérique Régional – MAR, and RACMO – Regional Atmospheric Climate MOdel) from 1986 through next
week. Additional non-SMB losses come from a marine-terminating glacier ice discharge product and a basal mass balance model. From these products we
provide an annual estimate of Greenland ice sheet mass balance from 1840
through 1985 and a daily estimate at sector and region scale from 1986 through
next week. This product updates daily and is the first IO product to include
the basal mass balance which is a source of an additional ∼24 Gt yr−1 of mass loss. Our results demonstrate an accelerating
ice-sheet-scale mass loss and general agreement (coefficient of determination,
r2, ranges from 0.62 to 0.94) among six other products, including
gravitational, volume, and other IO mass balance estimates. Results from this
study are available at https://doi.org/10.22008/FK2/OHI23Z (Mankoff et al., 2021).