Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions

Watson, Lisa; Wanders, Niko; Wanders, Niko; Verstegen, Judith A.; Jong, S.M. de; Karssenberg, Derek

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab5aab

Cited by 32 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…In the Himalayan region, persistent climatic variability would alter the habitats of medicinal plants (Maikhuri et al 2017) 17 . The total ecosystem value at 2005 is evaluated as 1.3 trillion international dollars, and 20-50% of that will experience the climate category transition by 2100 (Watson et al 2020).…”

Section: Ecosystem Servicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying key processes and sectors in the interaction between climate and socio-economic systems: a review toward integrating Earth–human systems

Tachiiri

Matsumoto

2021

Prog Earth Planet Sci

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For the purpose of identifying the key processes and sectors involved in the interaction between Earth and socio-economic systems, we review existing studies on those processes/sectors through which the climate impacts socio-economic systems, which then in turn affect the climate. For each process/sector, we review the direct physical and ecological impacts and, if available, the impact on the economy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Based on this review, land sector is identified as the process with the most significant impact on GHG emissions, while labor productivity has the largest impact on the gross domestic product (GDP). On the other hand, the energy sector, due to the increase in the demand for cooling, will have increased GHG emissions. Water resources, sea level rise, natural disasters, ecosystem services, and diseases also show the potential to have a significant influence on GHG emissions and GDP, although for most of these, a large effect was reported only by a limited number of studies. As a result, more studies are required to verify their influence in terms of feedbacks to the climate. In addition, although the economic damage arising from migration and conflict is uncertain, they should be treated as potentially damaging processes.

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Section: Ecosystem Servicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying key processes and sectors in the interaction between climate and socio-economic systems: a review toward integrating Earth–human systems

Tachiiri

Matsumoto

2021

Prog Earth Planet Sci

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“…Land use type changes can alter energy balances and biogeochemical cycles, further affecting the climate and ecosystem environments [ 4 , 5 , 6 ]. Ecosystem services (ESs) change along with global change [ 7 , 8 ], and ecosystem service values (ESVs) are assessments of the contributions of ecosystem service processes that consider the sustainability and rational allocation of ecological structure and function [ 9 , 10 ]. ESs refer to the direct and indirect contributions of ecosystems to human well-being and subsistence.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ecosystem Service Values in the Dongting Lake Eco-Economic Zone and the Synergistic Impact of Its Driving Factors

Chen

Zhang

et al. 2022

IJERPH

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Ecosystem service values (ESVs) are crucial to ecological conservation and restoration, urban and rural planning, and sustainable development of land. Therefore, it is important to study ESVs and their driving factors in the Dongting Lake Eco-Economic Zone (Dongting Lake). This paper quantifies the changes in ESVs in the Dongting Lake using land use data from 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2018. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model is used to study the effects of individual driving factors and the synergistic effects of these driving factors on ESVs. Our analysis suggests that: (1) From 2000 to 2018, the largest dynamic degree values in the Dongting Lake are in unused land types, followed by construction lands and wetlands. The ESVs of the Dongting Lake show an increasing trend, with those of forestlands being the highest, accounting for approximately 44.65% of the total value. Among the ESVs functions, water containment, waste treatment, soil formation and protection, biodiversity conservation and climate regulation contribute the most to ESVs, with a combined contribution of 76.64% to 76.99%; (2) The integrated intensity of anthropogenic disturbance shows a U-shaped spatial distribution, decreasing from U1 to U3. The driving factors in descending order of importance are the human impact index, total primary productivity (GPP), slope, elevation, population, temperature, gross domestic product, precipitation and PM2.5; (3) When the GPP is low (GPP < 900), the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanation) value of the high human impact index is greater than zero, indicating that an increase in GPP increases the ESVs in the Dongting Lake. This study can provide technical support and a theoretical basis for ecological environmental protection and ecosystem management in the Dongting Lake.

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“…Climate variability caused changes in temperature and rainfall, which may affect the growth of vegetation and the effectiveness of water resources, and exerted influences on land use/cover further [7][8][9]. The impacts of climate variability on land use/cover have attracted more and more attention in recent years, especially the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of land use/cover under the background of future climate variability [10,11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Values Based on Land Use/Cover Change in the Yiluo River Basin

et al. 2021

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Ecosystem service values are closely related to land use/cover change, however, the values affected by land use/cover change in the context of climate variability remain unclear. Based on the land use/cover data of 2000, 2010, and 2020 in the Yiluo River Basin, we quantitatively analyzed the impacts of historical land use/cover change on the ecosystem service values. Then the future land use simulation model was applied to predict the land use/cover distribution in 2030 under three Representative Concentration Pathways scenarios, and the influences on ecosystem service values were analyzed further. We found that the total ecosystem service values in the Yiluo River Basin presented a growth from 9217 million dollars (2000) to 9676 million dollars (2020), which attributed to the increase of forestland and water bodies in recent years. By 2030, the total ecosystem service values continued to present an upward trend, while also showing a difference under three scenarios, this discrepancy was mainly caused by different precipitation conditions. With the introduction of the ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River basin in the new period, climate change may be the main factors affecting the ecological field in the future.

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Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions

Cited by 32 publications

References 34 publications

Identifying key processes and sectors in the interaction between climate and socio-economic systems: a review toward integrating Earth–human systems

Identifying key processes and sectors in the interaction between climate and socio-economic systems: a review toward integrating Earth–human systems

Ecosystem Service Values in the Dongting Lake Eco-Economic Zone and the Synergistic Impact of Its Driving Factors

Analysis and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Values Based on Land Use/Cover Change in the Yiluo River Basin

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