Gender equality and fertility intentions revisited

Miettinen, Anneli; Basten, Stuart; Rotkirch, Anna

doi:10.4054/demres.2011.24.20

Cited by 70 publications

(75 citation statements)

References 25 publications

(38 reference statements)

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“…Some studies suggest that men's more gender-egalitarian roles result in higher fertility (Kaufman 2000;Puur et al 2008), while others find the opposite (Westoff and Higgins 2009), and still others identify a U-shaped effect, where men with either traditional or egalitarian views report higher ideal family sizes (Miettinen et al 2011).…”

Section: Gender Equalitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries

Basten

Sobotka

Zeman

et al. 2014

World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries AbstractThis paper discusses results of the global survey of experts on the future of low fertility in low-fertility countries. The survey was coordinated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital as a part of an effort to produce global argumentbased population projections by age, sex and level of education. First we give an overview of fertility changes in major low-fertility regions. Next we outline main theoretical arguments and review a wide range of factors contributing to fertility change and variation in contemporary low-fertility settings. Subsequently, we present survey results based on 184 assessments of over 170 experts analysing 41 countries with currently low or aroundreplacement fertility and Israel. These experts provided forecasts of period total fertility rate (TFR) in 2030 and 2050, estimated 80% confidence interval of their forecast and assessed the validity and potential impact on fertility of 46 factors. We also compare expert-derived projections of the TFR trends with the forecasts formulated by the UN World Population Prospects in 2010. The survey results in combination with the feedback provided by the invited experts then serve as a basis for formulating a set of projection scenarios for all low fertility countries up until 2050, which are additionally expanded (in a simpler form) through 2200. We present these scenarios and discuss past changes in fertility differences by level of education and their potential future trends in main regions. Presented analyses and projections indicate that a global convergence of fertility to around replacement level, envisioned in the UN projections, appears unlikely. Continuing differentiation combined with partial convergence in fertility towards lower levels is suggested as a more plausible scenario, with East Asia (including China) as well as Russia expected to have sustained very low fertility below 1.5 through 2050.

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Section: Gender Equalitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries

Basten

Sobotka

Zeman

et al. 2014

World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century

Self Cite

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“…While there is no consensus on whether husbands' share of domestic work would enhance fertility in all settings or even in the same setting due to various reasons (see Goldscheider, Bernhardt, and Brandén 2013;Miettinen, Basten, and Rotkirch 2011), no study links low fertility with the husbands' low share of family responsibility in China. Husbands' low involvement in domestic work suppresses fertility, although the association may not be sufficient to make a statistic difference.…”

Section: Gender Division Of Housework and Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Various studies have examined the possibility that couples will have more children if husbands increase their contributions to domestic work. There has been a number of large comparative studies using developed countries' data (GarciaManglano, Nollenberger, and Sevilla 2015) or data from multiple European nations (Crespi and Fontaine 2012;Harknett, Billari, and Medalia 2014;Kohler, Billari, and Ortega 2006), as well as research on specific countries, such as Australia Siminski 2010a, 2010b), Finland (Miettinen, Basten, and Rotkirch 2011), Germany (Cooke 2004), Hungry (Oláh 2003), Italy (Pinnelli and Fiori 2008;Rizzi 2012), Japan (Komatsu 2011), the Netherlands (Mills et al 2008), Portugal (Andrade and Bould 2012), Spain (Cooke 2009), Sweden (Goldscheider, Bernhardt, and Brandén 2013;Nilsson 2010), and the United States (Torr and Short 2004). These analyses document a variety of patterns.…”

Section: Gender Division Of Housework and Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Gendered division of domestic work and willingness to have more children in China

Yang¹

2017

DemRes

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“…The Late Fertility Survey 2008 is a representative survey of adults who were aged 25-44 and had no children or one child in 2008, N=3058, with a response rate of 44% (Miettinen and Rotkirch 2008;Miettinen et al 2011. ) This survey is limited to low-parity respondents; however, due to postponement of parenting and high levels of childlessness, zero-and one-parity adults represent about 60% of women and 70% of men in this age cohort (aged 25-44) in Finland.…”

Section: Questions Data and Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Baby longing and men’s reproductive motivation

Rotkirch¹

2012

Populationyearbook

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Childbearing in low-fertility societies sometimes results from a strong desire to have a(nother) child. Since women tend to dominate discussions on 'baby longing' or 'baby fever', it is not clear whether men also feel the powerful urge to have a child. Moreover, the demographic importance of baby longing has yet to be assessed. Using cross-sectional surveys from contemporary Finland and focusing on men, we analyse gender differences in baby longing.Both sexes report having felt an intense longing to have a child of their own at least once or a few times in their lives. A higher proportion of men say they have never longed for a child, while a higher proportion of women report having felt this longing frequently. Baby longing figures at different stages of the TraitsDesires-Intentions-Behaviour scheme of reproductive behaviour. For a small minority of men, longing first appears in youth. Baby longing among men most commonly plays into childbearing desires preceding attempts to achieve pregnancy. However, about every third man reports having first felt this longing only when trying to have a child. Baby longing among men is unrelated to economic and educational status, but it is associated with marital status, fertility intentions and the number of lifetime unions. Compared to its effects on women, baby longing among men is reported to result in having a child less often and to have less influence on childbearing decisions. We conclude that women's longing shapes the couple's fertility behaviour to a slightly higher degree than men's longing does, especially with regards to higher parities. Men's baby longing may be especially important for sustaining proceptive behaviour and preparing for fatherhood.

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Gender equality and fertility intentions revisited

Cited by 70 publications

References 25 publications

Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries

Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries

Gendered division of domestic work and willingness to have more children in China

Baby longing and men’s reproductive motivation

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