From the Lockdown to the New Normal: An Analysis of the Limitations to Individual Mobility in Italy Following the COVID-19 Crisis

Caselli, Mauro; Fracasso, Andrea; Scicchitano, Sergio

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3710568

Cited by 26 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 24 publications

(40 reference statements)

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“…Moreover, remote working was widely implemented as much as possible since the early start of the outbreak and individuals whose occupation was more suitable for remote working maintained their arrangements after the end of the lockdown. Our results are in line with early observations about the disproportionate impact of the interventions due to income inequalities [19,20], and of recent studies on the effects of restrictions on local labour market areas [21].…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Socio-economic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods

Gauvin

Bajardi

Pepe

et al. 2021

J. R. Soc. Interface.

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After more than 1 year into the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide still face the challenge of adopting non-pharmaceutical interventions to mitigate the risks posed by the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and the lack of a worldwide equitable vaccine allocation. Thus, it becomes crucial to identify the drivers of mobility responses to mitigation efforts during different restriction regimes, for planning interventions that are both economically and socially sustainable while effective in controlling an outbreak. Here, using anonymous and privacy-enhanced cell phone data from Italy, we investigate the determinants of spatial variations of reductions in mobility and co-location in response to the adoption and the lift of restrictions, considering both provinces and city neighbourhoods. In large urban areas, our analysis uncovers the desertification of historic city centres, which persisted after the end of the lockdown. Such centre-periphery gradient was mainly associated with differences in educational attainment. At the province level, the local structure of the labour market mainly explained the variations in mobility responses, together with other demographic factors, such as the population’s age and sex composition. In the future, targeted interventions should take into account how the ability to comply with restrictions varies across geographical areas and socio-demographic groups.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Socio-economic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods

Gauvin

Bajardi

Pepe

et al. 2021

J. R. Soc. Interface.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Moreover remote working was widely implemented as much as possible since the early start of the outbreak and individuals whose occupation was more suitable for remote working maintained their arrangements after the end of the lockdown. Our results are in line with early observations about the disproportionate impact of the interventions due to income inequalities [18, 19], and of recent studies on the effects of restrictions on local labour market areas [20], but expand such findings by highlighting the importance of the structure of the labour force.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Socioeconomic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods

Gauvin

Bajardi

Pepe

et al. 2020

Preprint

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As the second wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections is surging across Europe, it is crucial to identify the drivers of mobility responses to mitigation efforts during different restriction regimes, for planning interventions that are both economically and socially sustainable while effective in controlling the outbreak. Here, using anonymous and privacy enhanced cell phone data from Italy, we investigate the determinants of spatial variations of reductions in mobility and co-location in response to the adoption and the lift of restrictions, considering both provinces and city neighbourhoods. In large urban areas, our analysis uncovers the desertification of historic city centers, which persisted after the end of the lockdown. At the province level, the local structure of the labour market mainly explained the variations in mobility responses, together with other demographic factors, such as population’s age and sex composition. In the future, targeted interventions should take into account how the ability to comply with restrictions varies across geographic areas and socio-demographic groups.

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“…A potentially tractable formulation would be to use assume that aggregate infection is a CES function of jurisdiction-level policy. Second, the analysis does not consider the economic characteristics of different territories where the containment measures are to be implemented, including sectoral structure, labor linkages, and trade linkages (Acemoglu et al 2020;Barbieri et al 2020;Caselli et al 2020;Gauvin et al 2020;Burzynski et al 2020;Favero et al 2020). Future research may further investigate these aspects.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

National and Sub-National Social Distancing Responses to COVID-19

Iverson

Barbier

2021

Economies

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We examine the effectiveness of sub-national actions to control a novel disease, such as COVID-19, in the absence of national policy. Evidence shows that countries where sub-national governments have undertaken unilateral social distancing measures to combat the pandemic with little or no coordination have performed less well in controlling the spread of the disease. We explore analytically whether agreement on a common social distancing policy among sub-national governments, i.e., states or provinces, can lead to a better outcome than if each state or province pursues its own social distancing policy in isolation. A key feature of our model is that it accounts for the inter-jurisdictional spillover effects of each sub-national jurisdiction’s policy choice with respect to social distancing. Our results show that, in the absence of a national mandatory agreement, a sub-national agreement with sufficient coordination of social distancing policy among states yields a more effective and efficient control of a pandemic compared to states choosing policy unilaterally. These findings strongly support calls for greater cooperation among and assistance for sub-national governments to improve the effectiveness of their social distancing efforts in controlling the pandemic.

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From the Lockdown to the New Normal: An Analysis of the Limitations to Individual Mobility in Italy Following the COVID-19 Crisis

Cited by 26 publications

References 24 publications

Socio-economic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods

Socio-economic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods

Socioeconomic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods

National and Sub-National Social Distancing Responses to COVID-19

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