Formation of the Mechanism of Risk – Oriented Management of the Regional Investment – Construction Complex on the Basis of Forecasting

Abstract

Modern conditions for the functioning of the investment and construction complex are characterized by a high level of competition, an intensively changing market situation, an increase in the level of requirements for construction products. In this regard, it is urgent to address the challenges associated with improving the management of the regional investment and construction complex, based on forecasting its development, taking into account the impact of risk factors. To solve these problems, a mechanism for risk-based management of a regional investment and construction complex based on forecasting has been developed. An integral indicator is proposed that takes into account the production, financial, social, innovative and ecological efficiency of the regional investment and construction complex, taking into account the impact of risk factors. Approbation of the proposed mechanism is presented on the example of the investment and construction complex of the Republic of Crimea. The practical significance of this mechanism is the possibility of developing a strategic program for the development of the regional investment and construction complex of the Republic of Crimea on the basis of forecasting the dynamics of the integrated indicator of the management effectiveness of the regional investment and construction complex, taking into account the impact of risk.

Analisis Peramalan (Forecasting) Penjualan Dengan Metode ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Pada Huebee Indonesia

“…Menurut Hoffman (1975) definisi peramalan penjualan adalah pendekatan pasar yang menempatkan penjualan dan pemasaran sebagai kegiatan proyek, yang terdiri dari enam langkah, riset pasar, desain produk, penjualan, pembuatan produk yang akan dikirim, pengiriman produk. dan layanan berkelanjutan [13].…”

The Mechanism for Managing the Business Potential of Commercial Real Estate Projects

“…It is proposed to understand the business potential of commercial real estate projects as a set of organizational and economic opportunities for project implementation, adjusted taking into account the stages of the life cycle of the project, the profile of the project environment and the level of its competitiveness Project management based on the usage of its business potential will allow the investor to increase the cost of commercial real estate, profitability and more accurately determine the time when its necessary to exit from the project The mechanism for managing the business potential of commercial real estate projects is a system of managing impacts on the status of project implementation factors, with the aim of increasing the project cost by increasing its business potential (Fig. 1) [6]. The main element of this mechanism is the algorithm of decision making to increase the business potential of the commercial real estate projects on the stage of project planning and implementation.…”