Forecasting the level of financial security of the country (on the example of Ukraine)

Haber, Józef Antoni; Bukhtiarova, Alina; Chorna, Svitlana; Iastremska, Olesia; Bolgar, Tetiana

doi:10.21511/imfi.15(3).2018.25

Cited by 22 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…To identify threats and prevent their negative impact, it was proposed to use a set of models, which were identified as the basis of the forecasting and analytical mechanism of the financial security system. As a component of economic security, Haber et al (2018) studied the financial security of a country. This approach allows the use of the most important determinants, which makes it possible to outline measures to prevent existing threats.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis

Orlov¹,

Bukhtiarova

Marczuk

et al. 2021

Problems and Perspectives in Management

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The priority task for ensuring the economic security of a country, which is especially noticeable in the rapidly changing conditions of the contemporary global world, is to forecast challenges and threats. Economic security is one of the necessary conditions for state development, which provides guidelines for making major social and economic decisions. There are a few studies on the determinants of the economic security and no data about security determinants that are required to monitor it. The study aims to identify possible links between leading determinants of the economic security. For this purpose, on the example of Ukraine, causal links between the formation of real GDP (as the leading determinant that characterizes the economic security of the state), 11 determinants that indicate the level of international economic development, and 6 determinants of social development for the period 2014–2020 were determined. With a 5% level significance, the impact on the volume of real GDP of 14 determinants of state economic security was noted and specific time lags were defined. Besides, the bilateral causal effect and lack of causal connection between individual determinants were mentioned. Findings are helpful for effective public administration. In addition, active measures are needed to combat corruption, shadow and criminal economy, and state protection of domestic producers operating in the military, food, information, and energy security sectors. AcknowledgmentAlina Bukhtiarova gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (0120U100473).

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis

Orlov¹,

Bukhtiarova

Marczuk

et al. 2021

Problems and Perspectives in Management

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…The following aspects of investment and innovation provision of economic security of the basic types of economic activity are singled out: organisational and economic, infrastructural and institutional ones. It is worth agreeing with the scientists (Haber, Bukhtiarova, Chorna, Iastremska and Bolgar, 2018) that with such a list of resources, one manages to better represent the financial and investment, innovation and technological characteristics of how well the subjects of the basic types of economic activity formed the possibilities for self-developing and progressing. There are a number of unfounded relationships, and there is a need to clarify a range of investment and innovation components that ought to be replaced or detailed.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Structural Components of Investment and Innovation Provision of Economic Security in the Basic Types of Economic Activity

Ilyash¹,

Лупак²,

Dzhadan³

et al. 2021

jecs

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The article shows the progressive and practical value of a structural approach to the evaluation of investment and innovation provision of economic security, including the basic types of economic activity. The arguments have been distributed in relation to systemic, resource and functional approaches. Taking into account the multidimensionality of economic security of the basic types of economic activity, a methodological approach has been proposed in order to evaluate its investment and innovation provision, which incorporates Hellwig's scientific developments in calculating the taxonomic index of the level of economic development. The results of a systemic and structural analysis of investment and innovation provision of economic security of the basic types of Ukraine's economic activity have been grouped by quantitative and qualitative parameters. The retrospective and predictive dynamics of the main macroeconomic and technological measurement of the functioning of Ukrainian industry have been determined. The predictive evaluation of the structure of forming gross value added by basic types of economic activity of Ukraine has been carried out. A set of methods and instruments of investment and innovation provision of economic security of the basic types of economic activity has been offered.

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“…Investigation of modern issues related to the assessment of financial security on the state level is shown, in particular, in the papers [3,[5][6][7][8]. Paper [3] contains calculation of assessment of financial security level of Ukraine according to the Ukrainian methodology for assessing the economic security [4]. The Ukraine's rating was identified by value of this estimation.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Model for assessment of the financial security level of the enterprise based of the desirability scale

2019

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Modern economic realities of Ukraine in the conditions of growing destabilizing influences of external and internal environment convincingly prove that each year the influence of various threats on the level of financial security of economic entities increases. This necessitates constant monitoring of the financial security level in order to timely detect and neutralize possible crisis phenomena as a result of its decrease. The study aims to assess the financial security level of enterprises based on the theory of comprehensive assessment. The scientific and methodical approach to design a composite index of financial security and the identifying its level based on the double use of Harrington's desirability scale is proposed. The resulting model was tested on the particular enterprise data. The proposed approach may be used for another set of partial indicators, as well as in assessing the level of financial security at the national level. The results of the study may serve as the basis for making managerial decisions on raising the business entities financial security level and public administration.

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Forecasting the level of financial security of the country (on the example of Ukraine)

Cited by 22 publications

References 7 publications

International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis

International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis

Assessing Structural Components of Investment and Innovation Provision of Economic Security in the Basic Types of Economic Activity

Model for assessment of the financial security level of the enterprise based of the desirability scale

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