Forecasting Import Demand of Table Grapes: Empirical Evidence from Thailand

Jatuporn, Chalermpon; Sukprasert, Patana; Tongchure, Siros; Suvanvihok, Vasu; Thongkaew, Supat

doi:10.18488/journal.ajard.2020.102.578.586

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…Grapes are popular to be cultivated in the house yard, along with poor management system (Jatuporn et al, 2020). Although it runs on a small business scale, grape farming began to spread and widely cultivated by people in many backgrounds.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmer Perspectives On Livelihoods Within Grape Community In South Tangerang City

Haryanto

2022

Jambura Agribus. J.

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Grape vines are cultivated in South Tangerang City, not only by farmers, but also by members of a grape community. This research aimed 1) to describe the characteristics of grape farmers, 2) to show the perspective of grapes farmer, and 3) to identify problems and expectations in carrying out grape vines cultivation in South Tangerang City. Data collected through the interview, observation and sharing questionnaires. The number of samples was determined proportionally to 68 grape farmers, who are members of the grape community in South Tangerang City (KAT). The results showed that grape farmers tended to be knowledgeable and educated, specified by productive age (20-40 years old) with less experiences in grape cultivation. Based on the perspective analysis, farmers were attracted to grape farming not because of the influence of farm-families background, but because of hobbies and self interest in grapes cultivation. Farmers considered that agriculture was a noble and a matter of pride. The most common problems facing grape farmers were the insufficient land, inadequate agricultural funding base, and formulating the ideal growing media. The results of the expectation analysis proved that training program was the most desired assistance for farmers, especially effort to increase grape productivity.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmer Perspectives On Livelihoods Within Grape Community In South Tangerang City

Haryanto

2022

Jambura Agribus. J.

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“…There are numerous studies using time series analysis to forecast the price and quantity of agricultural commodities, such as Jatuporn and Sukprasert [7] forecasted Thailand's rubber domestic production and export volume using three forecasting techniques, namely, the Box-Jenkins, regression with time trends and seasonal dummies, and exponential smoothing with seasonal additive and multiplicative models. The findings of Jatuporn and Sukprasert [7] revealed that the regression technique with time trends and seasonal dummies was mostly suitable for forecasting domestic production and export volume of rubber in Thailand due to its lowest value of the RMSE statistic. In addition, Co and Boosarawongse [8] forecasted Thailand's export volume of different rice types using three forecasting techniques, namely, artificial neural network (ANN), the Box-Jenkins, and exponential smoothing.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact Assessment of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Shrimp Exports in Thailand: An Empirical Study Using Time Series Analysis

Jatuporn

2022

Sustainability

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This study aims to assess the impact of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on Thailand’s shrimp exports in 2020 by applying the Box-Jenkins forecasting technique. A monthly time series from January 2011 to December 2019, comprising 108 months in total, which is the period before the COVID-19 pandemic, was used to forecast Thailand’s shrimp exports of frozen and flavored shrimp from January to December 2020. Subsequently, the impact assessment was calculated by comparing the shrimp export values for the case with and without the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The empirical results reveal that the most suitable models for the estimate are (1) SARIMA(4,1,0)(0,1,1)12 for the export volume of frozen shrimp, (2) SARIMA(1,1,0)(0,1,1)12 for the export price of frozen shrimp, (3) SARIMA(2,2,3)(0,1,0)12 for the export volume of flavored shrimp, and (4) SARIMA(2,1,0)(0,1,1)12 for the export price of flavored shrimp. The impact assessment of the COVID-19 pandemic on shrimp exports in Thailand indicates that the COVID-19 pandemic has positively affected frozen shrimp export at an impact valuation of 1325 million baht and flavored shrimp export at an impact valuation of 1632 million baht. The reason for this is due to the demand for shrimp exports from Thailand to replace the sharply reduced shrimp supply in the world market.

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Carbonization of oil palm empty fruit bunches in a fixed- bed pyrolysis reactor for community use

Saipanya

Homdoung

Sasujit

et al. 2022

3rd International Conference on Energy and Power, Icep2021

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Forecasting Import Demand of Table Grapes: Empirical Evidence from Thailand

Cited by 3 publications

References 7 publications

Farmer Perspectives On Livelihoods Within Grape Community In South Tangerang City

Farmer Perspectives On Livelihoods Within Grape Community In South Tangerang City

Impact Assessment of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Shrimp Exports in Thailand: An Empirical Study Using Time Series Analysis

Carbonization of oil palm empty fruit bunches in a fixed- bed pyrolysis reactor for community use

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