Flood severity along the Usumacinta River, Mexico: identifying the anthropogenic signature of tropical forest conversion

Horton, Alexander; Nygren, Anja; Diaz-Perera, Miguel; Kummu, Matti

doi:10.1002/essoar.10503545.1

Cited by 2 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…In more comparable scales, Zhang et al (2017) find a higher than 2:1 relationship between forest loss and increase in river discharge (for both large and small watersheds). In addition, Horton et al (2021) also find in Mexican tropical forests a close to 2:1 relationship between forest loss and mean monthly discharge for both the low and high-flow season, respectively. When this interaction was estimated with the above local-scale values (See Supplementary materials Table S6.1 for details), our results of moderate to strong interaction are in agreement.…”

Section: Identified Interaction Strengths In Line With Literaturementioning

confidence: 57%

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production: an expert elicitation

Chrysafi

Virkki

Jalava

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Several safe boundaries of critical Earth system processes have already been crossed by human perturbations. Recent research indicates that not accounting for the interactions between these processes may further narrow the safe operating space for humanity. Yet existing work accounts only for transgression of single boundaries and only a few studies take some of the boundary interactions into account. For future sustainability assessments, it is essential to understand boundary transgressions and their interactions more comprehensively. Here, we explore quantitatively how strongly seven variables, representing Earth system processes relevant to food production, interact with each other, using a structured expert knowledge elicitation. We identify Green water and Land system change as crucial interactive processes through their impacts on multiple relevant processes, while Biosphere integrity-land, freshwater and ocean components appear to be most affected by other Earth system processes, most notably Blue water and Biogeochemical flows. The elicitation also enabled us to map the complex network of mechanisms mediating interactions, to support integrated Earth system and planetary boundaries modelling and assessments. Finally, we created a prioritisation scheme for future research according to the interaction strengths and existing knowledge gaps. Our analysis improves our understanding of Earth system interactions, with clear implications for sustainable use of natural resources such as the biophysical limits for food production.

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Section: Identified Interaction Strengths In Line With Literaturementioning

confidence: 57%

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production: an expert elicitation

Chrysafi

Virkki

Jalava

et al. 2021

Preprint

Self Cite

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Section: Mexico's Water Resources and Climate Change Linkmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, the El-Nino-Southern Oscillation phenomenon in the nation and other regions results from the unusual warming of surface waters in the surrounding ocean, leading to unprecedented intensity in rainfall (Herron, 2013). Consequently, flooding resulting from precipitation intensified by climate change (Horton et al, 2021;Romero Lankao, 2010). Climate change can also lead to the opposite phenomenon La Nina, which promotes drought, contributing greatly to overdrawn water resources and water scarcity (Romero Lankao, 2010).…”

Section: Climate Change On Water Resources In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Additionally, Pacheco-Vega (2018) highlights that water and the politics surrounding it have been harnessed as tools of political power. Water can also be weaponized in some contexts, especially impacting ordinary citizens (De Alba, 2017;Horton et al, 2021). That is especially apparent when exploring the concept of clientelism in Mexico (Pacheco-Vega, 2018).…”

Section: Implementation Issuesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Effects of climate change on water resources in Mexico

Miguel

Becerril

Díaz

2022

MEQ

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PurposeThis systematic review of literature purposes to explore the impact of climate change on Mexico's water resources, exploring the impacts and efforts to address the problem as well as their effectiveness.Design/methodology/approachThe researcher relied on several tools to obtain scholarly articles. The primary approach was using preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. The Journal Impact Factor was an important consideration for the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The work also excluded all journals predating 2009. The work emphasized using journal articles. However, it consulted textbooks and documents from the government and water conservation sources. Contextually the sources with the highest Journal Impact Factor index were selected, paying heed to their relevance to the topic under investigation. Fifty sources out of seventy were included in the systematic review.FindingsMexico's already strained water resources have been negatively impacted by climate change, behooving the Mexican government to implement various mitigative strategies. However, scholars reported mixed results on the effectiveness of the various policies and programs implemented by the Mexican government. Key impediments to sustainable implementations entailed the political and social contexts surrounding the conservation policies in Mexico.Originality/valueNumerous articles have explored the impact of climate change on Mexico's water resources, but many focus on a specific aspect. This work took a holistic approach, synthesizing multiple impacts and providing a sociological perspective on the effects, mitigation efforts, and implementation challenges.

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Flood severity along the Usumacinta River, Mexico: identifying the anthropogenic signature of tropical forest conversion

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production: an expert elicitation

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production: an expert elicitation

Effects of climate change on water resources in Mexico

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