“…For the calculation of the linear slope, we assume that the number of events follows a Poisson distribution. A linear nonthreshold multiplicative model is fit to the SMR results from the categorical analysis (three categories; see above) using iteratively re-weighted least-squares estimation [Hanley and Liddell 1985;Hertz-Picciotto and Smith 1993]: where E[] indicates the expectation of a random variable (in this case from a Poisson distribution), obs i is the observed number of events at exposure level i, α represents any difference between the study cohort and the external referent population with respect to baseline rate, EXP i is the expected number of events at exposure level i, β is the slope based on maximum likelihood estimation, and x is the exposure level. In addition, a goodness of fit statistic is calculated which follows a chi-square distribution with (k -N) degrees of freedom, where k is the number of exposure categories and N is the number of parameters estimated.…”