2017
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1706847114
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Finding water scarcity amid abundance using human–natural system models

Abstract: Water scarcity afflicts societies worldwide. Anticipating water shortages is vital because of water's indispensable role in social-ecological systems. But the challenge is daunting due to heterogeneity, feedbacks, and water's spatial-temporal sequencing throughout such systems. Regional system models with sufficient detail can help address this challenge. In our study, a detailed coupled human-natural system model of one such region identifies how climate change and socioeconomic growth will alter the availabi… Show more

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Cited by 57 publications
(35 citation statements)
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References 27 publications
(22 reference statements)
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“…Water is the most influential resource in ecosystems and societies in arid and semi-arid areas (Chen et al 2013;Feng et al 2016;Jaeger et al 2017;Qi et al 2017). In drylands, the spatio-temporal distribution and availability of water resources have been the major focuses of terrestrial ecosystem studies at local, regional and global levels (Groisman et al 2017;Monier et al 2017;Soja and Groisman 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Water is the most influential resource in ecosystems and societies in arid and semi-arid areas (Chen et al 2013;Feng et al 2016;Jaeger et al 2017;Qi et al 2017). In drylands, the spatio-temporal distribution and availability of water resources have been the major focuses of terrestrial ecosystem studies at local, regional and global levels (Groisman et al 2017;Monier et al 2017;Soja and Groisman 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Dam management on major rivers may provide the most important mechanism to mitigate impacts of climate change on stream temperature and hydrological regimes in the coming century. However, reservoir management will also be influenced by requirements for flood management, and public and political pressures to accommodate the competing needs for water downstream (Jaeger et al, ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finding solutions to manage scarce water resources to meet human water needs while sustaining ecosystems has become a priority for research [1][2][3][4] and policy makers. In 2015, the United Nations (UN) adopted 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), including "Ensuring access to water and sanitation for all" (SDG6) 5 .…”
Section: Background and Summarymentioning
confidence: 99%