Faktor – Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Volume Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Ke Jepang

Abstract

The increase in coffee consumption in Japan is caused by several reasons, including changes in lifestyle in society due to westernization which introduced the habit of drinking coffee. Marketing that emphasizes instant coffee and roasted or ground coffee beans, a fast growing cafe or coffee shop. The product innovation process is increasingly developing so that Japanese people can enjoy coffee more easily. The research objective was to determine the factors that influence the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Japan. The research method in this research uses quantitative methods. Type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data from 1989 to 2018. The data sources were obtained from the directorate general of the United Nations and Commodities of Trade (UN Comtrade), World Bank. The analysis used multiple linear regression models through the ECM approach. The results showed that an increase in Japanese population, world tea prices and Indonesia Japan Economics Partnership (IJEPA) policies would increase the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Japan. While Japanese coffee consumption, world coffee prices and inflation reduce the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Japan. The increase in coffee production, Japanese GDP and the exchange rate did not increase or decrease the volume of coffee exports to Japan.
 Keywords: coffee, exports, consumption, error correction model

Indonesian Coffee Export Analysis to Germany From 1990 to 2019

“…The world coffee price has a big impact on Indonesian coffee exports because in the trading activities of coffee products in the international market, the coffee price benchmark in the world market is used. This result is in accordance with research (Sitanini et al, 2020) where the movement of coffee demand in destination countries to the increase in world coffee prices has a high negative response.…”

“…Based on the short-term estimation results, coffee production does not have a significant impact on the amount of coffee exported by Indonesia to Germany, with a coefficient value of -0.012937 and a probability value of 0.3730, meaning that any increase or decrease in Indonesian coffee production does not affect the increase or decrease of Indonesian coffee export capacities to Germany. Research (Sitanini et al, 2020), states that Indonesian coffee production does not increase or decrease volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Japan.…”

Analysis of the Factors Influencing Indonesia's Coffee Exports in 2000-2020

“…Therefore, Indonesia must always maintain the quality and quality of coffee commodities so that Indonesian coffee is able to continue to compete with coffees from other countries. Same result was revealed by Mardhiah et al, (2020) and Sitanini et al, (2020) who said that coffee production had no effect on coffee exports in the short term. For long-term estimates of Indonesian coffee production variables also have no effect on Indonesia's coffee exports.…”

“…Pribadi & Sudiana (2020) as well as Sitanini et al (2020) stated that if the world coffee price had an effect on Indonesia's coffee commodity exports. However, there are differences in research results between the two, namely:Personal & Sudiana (2020) states that the exchange rate has an influence on the export of coffee JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES, SOCIAL SCIENCES AND BUSINESS | JHSSB https://ojs.transpublika.com/index.php/JHSSB/ E-ISSN: 2810-0832 commodities, while Sitanini et al (2020) said the exchange rate had no effect on export commodities.…”

Daya Saing Dan Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Lada Indonesia Ke Amerika: Pendekatan Revealed Comparative Advantage

“…Semakin tinggi nilai tukar rupiah dibandingkan dolar, akan mengakibatkan rupiah melemah (depresiasi) tetapi dengan melemahnya nilai rupiah justru menguntungkan eksportir Indonesia. Nilai tukar yang berpengaruh signifikan juga diperoleh pada penelitian Sitanini et al, 2020 mengenai ekspor kopi ke Jepang (Sitanini et al, 2020). Nilai tukar rupiah yang meningkat akan membuat harga lada Indonesia seolah-olah murah di pasar internasional dan mengakibatkan permintaan ekspor dari suatu negara importir meningkat sehingga volume ekspor lada Indonesia juga meningkat.…”