Exploring the Dynamics of Responses to Food Production Shocks

Jones, Aled; Hiller, Bradley

doi:10.3390/su9060960

Cited by 15 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…While food production shocks are well studied, the response to them and the complex dynamics leading to larger-scale food crises are less understood (Jones and Hiller 2017). Network analysis tools have been applied to investigate the structure and dynamics of food trade.…”

Section: Vwt and Resilience In The Global Food Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global virtual water trade and the hydrological cycle: patterns, drivers, and socio-environmental impacts

D’Odorico

Carr

Dalin

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

149

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The increasing global demand for farmland products is placing unprecedented pressure on the global agricultural system and its water resources. Many regions of the world, that are affected by a chronic water scarcity relative to their population, strongly depend on the import of agricultural commodities and associated embodied (or virtual) water. The globalization of water through virtual water trade (VWT) is leading to a displacement of water use and a disconnection between human populations and the water resources they rely on. Despite the recognized importance of these phenomena in reshaping the patterns of water dependence through teleconnections between consumers and producers, their effect on global and regional water resources has just started to be quantified. This review investigates the global spatiotemporal dynamics, drivers, and impacts of VWT through an integrated analysis of surface water, groundwater, and root-zone soil moisture consumption for agricultural production; it evaluates how virtual water flows compare to the major 'physical water fluxes' in the Earth System; and provides a new reconceptualization of the hydrologic cycle to account also for the role of water redistribution by the hidden 'virtual water cycle'.

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Section: Vwt and Resilience In The Global Food Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global virtual water trade and the hydrological cycle: patterns, drivers, and socio-environmental impacts

D’Odorico

Carr

Dalin

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

149

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…As a result, the FAO cereal price index rose rapidly from a value of around 150 in summer 2010 to around 250 in spring 2011. As with 2007-2008, other countries responded in a largely uncoordinated way, each driven by internal political dynamics and national self-interests [70]. Market and policy responses can create spillover between crops that are affected by the original weather event (wheat) and those unaffected (e.g.…”

Section: Illustrative Risk Transmission Case Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders

Challinor

Adger

Benton

et al. 2018

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A.

101

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Systemic climate risks, which result from the potential for cascading impacts through inter-related systems, pose particular challenges to risk assessment, especially when risks are transmitted across sectors and international boundaries. Most impacts of climate variability and change affect regions and jurisdictions in complex ways, and techniques for assessing this transmission of risk are still somewhat limited. Here, we begin to define new approaches to risk assessment that can account for transboundary and trans-sector risk transmission, by presenting: (i) a typology of risk transmission that distinguishes clearly the role of climate versus the role of the social and economic systems that distribute resources; (ii) a review of existing modelling, qualitative and systems-based methods of assessing risk and risk transmission; and (iii) case studies that examine risk transmission in human displacement, food, water and energy security. The case studies show that policies and institutions can attenuate risks significantly through cooperation that can be mutually beneficial to all parties. We conclude with some suggestions for assessment of complex risk transmission mechanisms: use of expert judgement; interactive scenario building; global systems science and big data; innovative use of climate and integrated assessment models; and methods to understand societal responses to climate risk. These approaches aim to inform both research and national-level risk assessment.

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“…response to its shortfall in yields, Russia imposed an export ban in order to maintain local food supplies. Other countries responded in a largely uncoordinated ways, each of them driven by internal politics as well as national self-interests (Jones and Hiller 2017). Overall, these measures led to rapid price rises on the global markets (Welton 2011), partly through panic buying, but also through financial speculation (Spratt 2013).…”

Section: Food Price Spikesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Food security

2022

Climate Change and Land

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as a proxy (percentage of pregnant women whose haemoglobin level is less than 110 grams per litre at sea level and percentage of non-pregnant women whose haemoglobin level is less than 120 grams per litre at sea level). a Body mass index between 25 kg m -2 and 29.9 kg m -2 . b Body mass index greater than 30 kg m -2 . c Prevalence of overweight/obesity among adults (age ≥18) in year 2016. Data from NCD Risc data source. d UNICEF WHO Joint Malnutrition. e In 2011.f Anaemia prevalence in girls and women aged 15 to 49.

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Exploring the Dynamics of Responses to Food Production Shocks

Cited by 15 publications

References 30 publications

Global virtual water trade and the hydrological cycle: patterns, drivers, and socio-environmental impacts

Global virtual water trade and the hydrological cycle: patterns, drivers, and socio-environmental impacts

Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders

Food security

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