Exploring the dynamics between terrorism and anti-terror spending: Theory and UK-evidence

Arın, K. Peren; Lorz, Oliver; Reich, Otto F. M.; Spagnolo, Nicola

doi:10.1016/j.jebo.2010.10.007

Cited by 8 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 32 publications

(30 reference statements)

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“…Meanwhile, low-level collaboration could make a supply chain more susceptible to adversaries. This is supported by evidence-based studies suggesting that adversaries are purposeful agents engaging in adaptive decision processes (Arin et al, 2011;Jaspersen & Montibeller, 2020). The main research questions that we strive to address in this paper are:…”

Section: Production and Operations Managementmentioning

confidence: 73%

Securing containerized supply chain through public and private partnership

Nikoofal

Pourakbar

Gümüş

2023

Production and Operations Management

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Global trade is seafaring commerce; 90% of traded goods are carried by maritime transport, which has become vulnerable to security risks. This has led governments to initiate security programs serving tens of thousands of members worldwide. This paper studies the government's incentive design and the interaction between Customs inspection capacity and the incentives offered in security programs. Using the theory of incentives, we investigate the value of a partnership in improving the security of containerized supply chain. We developed a sequential game featuring the government, firms, and an adversary. The government selects the inspection capacity and incentives to foster the partnership, namely, an operational benefit in the form of a reduced inspection rate, and a security benefit obtained through reductions in the risks of adversarial infiltration. Firms subsequently decide on a collaboration level, followed by a strategic adversary's decision to infiltrate. Using the adversary's best response, we show that, in equilibrium, the government ranks all the firms and induces collaboration with only a subset of them. We demonstrate that, in equilibrium, while security incentives may benefit all participants, tailored operational incentives should be offered strictly to foster collaboration. The required condition to implement the inspection-free lane for members is also characterized. Our results also inform practice to help security policymakers understand the underlying interaction between Customs inspection capacity and incentive design in forging collaboration with private firms. In particular, as firms opting for collaboration experience lower inspection rates, this further reduces overall congestion, which, in turn, creates a positive externality for nonmember firms. Therefore, having an excess inspection capacity may result in shorter wait times that could dissuade firms from collaborating. K E Y W O R D Scontainer transport, incentive design, public-private partnership, risk and security management INTRODUCTIONTransporting over 90% of the world's cargo, maritime containers play a massive role in today's global supply chains. This huge volume creates enormous opportunities for illicit actors to infiltrate and abuse this mode of transport. Examples of bad actors include terrorists, smugglers, traffickers, and counterfeiters that pose health, security, and safety risks to people, firms, and infrastructures. With containers undergoing Customs inspections several times throughout their

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Section: Production and Operations Managementmentioning

confidence: 73%

Securing containerized supply chain through public and private partnership

Nikoofal

Pourakbar

Gümüş

2023

Production and Operations Management

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The extreme case of terrorism: a scientometric analysis

Magnone

2014

Scientometrics

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How has the terrorism affected the research process and findings? The author tries to answer to this question through an exploratory analysis of the impact of these tragic events on the research outputs of scientists, institutions and countries. In particular, this report provides a wide range of scientometric data related to terrorism studies over the world during the two decades from 1991 to 2011. After the September 11, 2001 events (9/ 11) in the United States, the concerned academicians have responded in a way that they started producing an increasing number of research publications, as if they were under the influence of some kind of a driving force, stimulating the overall academic production linked to this tragic event. However, after this trend has reached its peak in 2002, that driving force has visibly weakened, and since the mid 2000's, the number of research publication in the field of terrorism studies has steadily decreased. Nonetheless, the number of terrorist events per year, along with the property damage and fatality rate, has continuously increased over the observed lapse of time. Using these results as a backdrop, in this paper is argued that the field of terrorism research should be explored from a critical and multi-cultural perspective, and that all scientific researchers should remain objective, for scientific research is to be independent from political systems, its contingent events in any form, and the transitory historical circumstances.

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On the learning patterns and adaptive behavior of terrorist organizations

Jaspersen¹,

Montibeller

2020

European Journal of Operational Research

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Exploring the dynamics between terrorism and anti-terror spending: Theory and UK-evidence

Cited by 8 publications

References 32 publications

Securing containerized supply chain through public and private partnership

Securing containerized supply chain through public and private partnership

The extreme case of terrorism: a scientometric analysis

On the learning patterns and adaptive behavior of terrorist organizations

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