Brief Synopsis: Using simulation modeling, we explored the impact of a novel screening assay to reducing the impact of adverse events during the pre-clinical and clinical trial drug development phases.
Abstract:Cataract was used as a model for the prevalence and economic impact of adverse events during the drug development process. Meta-analysis revealed a reported prevalence of cataract of 12.0% (1.0-43.3%), 3.8% (2.4-12.5%), 1.0% (0.0-8.1%), 1.7% (0.0-34.8%) and 3.8% (2.3-5.7%) of compounds in Preclinical, Phase I, II, III and IV clinical trials, respectively. Utilizing a human-based in vitro screening assay to predict cataractogenic potential in man could allow better selection of novel compounds at early stage drug development. This could significantly reduce costs and ultimately increase the probability of a drug obtaining FDA approval for a clinical application.Word count: 97 3 Background: