Examining values and influences affecting public expectations of future urban mobility: A Singapore case study

Kurniawan, Jude Herijadi; Ong, Corinne S. L.; Cheah, Lynette

doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2017.12.014

Cited by 11 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…coping or accommodating strategies); and their expectations and aspirations with regards to future mobility services in Singapore. For an in-depth discussion of the focus group discussions conducted, see Kurniawan et al (2018) 2.5 Drivers of change…”

Section: Focus Group Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A foresight study on urban mobility: Singapore in 2040

Zahraei

Kurniawan

Cheah

2019

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Purpose The transportation system in any city is complex and evolving, shaped by various driving forces and uncertainties in the social, economic, technological, political and environmental situations. Its development and demands upon it cannot be projected by simply extrapolating past and current trends. This paper aims to present a foresight study examining the future of urban mobility, focusing on the dense Asian city-state of Singapore. The objective is to develop scenarios for the future of urban mobility, to facilitate future policy implementation by highlighting long term challenges and opportunities for transportation planning in cities. Design/methodology/approach To create future scenarios, the authors first sought to identify key drivers of change through environmental scanning, expert interviews, focus group discussions and technology scanning. These drivers of change were subsequently used in a scenario planning workshop, organized to co-create alternative future visions for urban mobility 2040 with experts and local stakeholders. Findings Two scenarios emerged, called the Shared World and the Virtual World. For each scenario, the authors described the key features in terms of dominant transport modes for the movements of passengers and freight. Subsequently, the authors discussed possible implications of each scenario to the individual, society, industry and government. Originality/value As cities grow and develop, city and transport planners should not only address daily operational issues but also develop a well-informed, long-term understanding of the evolving mobility system to address challenges that lie beyond the five- or even ten-year horizon. By using scenario planning approach, the authors hope to prepare stakeholders for the uncertain futures that are continuously shaped by the decisions today.

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Section: Focus Group Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A foresight study on urban mobility: Singapore in 2040

Zahraei

Kurniawan

Cheah

2019

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“…Decisions based on a single or a handful of pathways may create a barrier to pursuing alternative pathways because the action to shift to a vastly different pathway could be too costly. For instance, as people become more digitally connected, a newly emerged norm such as “virtual travel” could make physical travel unnecessary (i.e., with the uptake of new norms such as telecommuting and massive online open course; Kurniawan, Ong, & Cheah, ). Yet these emerging social norms could have been missed by the epistemic future.…”

Section: Defining Epistemic Imaginative and Bifurcated Futuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…All levels of society (i.e., small‐ and medium‐sized businesses, large corporations, and grassroot organizations) now contribute to decision making, problem definition, and implementation of solutions (Lowndes & Skelcher, ; Rhodes, ). Studies of the future now invite participation from traditionally power‐less actors, giving them the opportunity to have a say on what future they desire (see, e.g., Kurniawan, Ong, & Cheah, ; Shaw, Burch, Kristensen, Robinson, & Dale, ).…”

Section: Power To Define the Futurementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Climate change and sustainability are crosscutting issues that transform space and influence future outcomes. While studies of future cities or future of urban mobility or food security (see, e.g., Kurniawan, Ong, & Cheah, ; Moglia et al, ; Palazzo et al, ) have been aimed at exploring plausible futures, these studies are not about the future as time per se. Rather, they explain the transformation of space in those temporal contexts.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Integrating human geography into futures studies: Reconstructing and reimagining the future of space

Kurniawan

Kundurpi

2019

Geography Compass

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This article explores the concept of the “future” through the lens of human geography. We examine how space may influence the way we perceive the future and how actors connected to this space will determine or undermine the kind of future to be unfolded. Particularly, we are interested in who influences the ideas of the future that explains how futures could be imagined and constructed. Already, the ideas of the future have utilized concepts of sustainability and climate change to demonstrate how futures may unfold. However, these envisioned futures, which mostly originate from a narrow perspective within a single space–time dimension, can be misleading. The ideas of the future can be challenged because space–time evolution alters the social structure of actors connected to space in multiple dimensions. As space–time evolves, new actors will be introduced, and actors who have been traditionally power‐less may emerge to contest and negotiate access to power to provide alternative ideas of the future. Understanding how power is negotiated and contested by these actors in the future is critical to understanding who has the future power.

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“…Extant research has identified the four main drivers of transport mode choice: socioeconomics and demographics, instrumental factors, geographic factors, and trip purpose (Carrasco et al, 2008). Socioeconomic and demographic attributes, which are highly relevant, include age, gender, occupation, household size, income, and car ownership (De Jong et al, 2004;Garikapati et al, 2016;Hunecke et al, 2010;Kurniawan et al, 2018). Instrumental factors include values such as safety, health and well-being, the meaning of emerging transport technologies, and the meaning of owned versus shared vehicles (Kurniawan et al, 2018).…”

Section: Consumers' Trip Decision-makingmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Examining values and influences affecting public expectations of future urban mobility: A Singapore case study

Cited by 11 publications

References 32 publications

A foresight study on urban mobility: Singapore in 2040

A foresight study on urban mobility: Singapore in 2040

Integrating human geography into futures studies: Reconstructing and reimagining the future of space

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