Evolving foresight in a small transition economy

Havas, Attila

doi:10.1002/for.855

Cited by 40 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 12 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Yet, these many activities notwithstanding (or possibly because of the proliferation thereof), there have been no foresight exercises on a scale that would match the scope and the level of ambition of large-scale national exercises elsewhere (for example, in Hungary, France, Germany and United Kingdom, see Havas 2003;Durand 2003;Cuhls 2003;Keenan 2003). This may have been because Finland is a small country: thus, some results from even seemingly isolated foresight activities can be brought to bear on policy making even in the absence of formal coordination,…”

Section: Finnsight In Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

Axes of balance in foresight – reflections from FinnSight 20151

Salo

Brummer

Коннола

2009

Technology Analysis & Strategic Management

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In 2005, the Finnish Government took a decision in principle on the structural development of the public research system. This decision spurred the two main funding agencies -the Academy of Finland and the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation (Tekes) -to carry out FinnSight 2015, a joint foresight exercise that would provide inputs to this strategy, foster collaboration between these funding agencies and promote foresight and innovation activities at large. Towards these objectives, FinnSight 2015 engaged 10 expert panels which identified key driving forces and characterised focus areas of competences by making extensive use of Internet-based tools and by engaging in intensive deliberations at facilitated workshops. We also describe the policy context and methodological support of FinnSight: specifically, we report how challenges arising from the tight schedule were addressed through the process design and what policy developments have taken place after to the publication of foresight results, in the belief that our analysis may be instructive for the planning of large-scale foresight exercises that need to serve high-level policy objectives subject to demanding time constraints and expectations.

show abstract

Section: Finnsight In Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

Axes of balance in foresight – reflections from FinnSight 20151

Salo

Brummer

Коннола

2009

Technology Analysis & Strategic Management

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…After a decade within the EU bloc, Foresight initiatives in V4 countries show a rich and diverse picture as far as their focus, objectives, methodology, outputs and regional prevalence are concerned. Three of the four countries (CZ, HU, PL) realised their national Foresight exercises sponsored by respective governments [15,25,26] and many regional and sectoral Foresight projects were executed [27][28][29], taking the advantage of EU structural funds. However, as evaluation of these show [30] the use of the results in policy making (for example when developing national or regional smart specialization strategies) was limited [20].…”

Section: Literature Overview and Methodological Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Visegrad Group (also known as the BVisegrad Four^or simply BV4^) reflects the efforts of the countries (The Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) of the Central European region to work together in a number of fields of common interest within the all-European integration [15].…”

Section: The Economic Features and Key Challenges Of Visegrad Regionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The future of business in Visegrad region

Sacio-Szymańska

Kononiuk

Tommei³

et al. 2016

Eur J Futures Res

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The paper aims to advance Futures Research by outlining the context and development perspectives of business Foresight in Visegrad region (that is in: Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary). Authors apply their research to tackle present challenges associated with the limited awareness of Foresight and constrained access to Foresight training offer in the region, which leads to insufficient Futures Literacy competences among managers and thus stiffens the opportunity to take advantage of Foresight in business practice. The paper presents two perspectives of analyzing business futures. A macro perspective, which concerns possible development scenarios of Visegrad economies, and a micro perspective, which concerns possible development scenarios of individual companies from Visegrad region. The methodology for the macro analyses involves the discussion of the futures of business in Visegrad economies based on quantitative indicators related to trade balance, foreign direct investment and SMEs prevalence analysed over 2002 -2014 period. Whereas, the results derived from the micro level analysis are based on the expert-based scenario building exercise executed by Visegrad entrepreneurs participating in a 2-day international Foresight workshop. The research portrays the results achieved so far in the FOR_V4 project: BMobilising Corporate Foresight potential among V4 countries^, which aims to bring futures knowledge and techniques to managers, who are expected to become BCorporate foresight evangelists^in Visegrad region.

show abstract

“…Ez a nemzeti szintű foresight a német és a japán gyakorlatot alapul véve a Delphi-módszert és a hazai szakértők széles körének bevonását részesítette előnyben, és öt komplex témakörre vonatkozóan készített jövővíziókat a lehetséges új technológiák hazai elterjedéséről. A kutatást Havas Attila vezette (Technológiai Előretekintési Program, 2000;Havas, 2003).…”

unclassified