“…However, the timing of first birth varies largely across countries (Burkimsher 2017), and socio-economic inequalities exist within countries (Rendall et al 2009). At a national level, social norms as well as family policies can influence the timing of a first birth (Frejka and Sardon 2006).…”
“…However, the timing of first birth varies largely across countries (Burkimsher 2017), and socio-economic inequalities exist within countries (Rendall et al 2009). At a national level, social norms as well as family policies can influence the timing of a first birth (Frejka and Sardon 2006).…”
“…Turning to a cohort perspective, Burkimsher () identified bimodality in first birth rates in some European countries, including Sweden, the Czech Republic, and Lithuania, as a temporary feature of the transition to a later childbearing pattern among women born in 1968–1980. Some women from these cohorts have already adopted a new late childbearing schedule, while other women had children early in life, in line with the previous norm.…”
Section: Bimodal Age Pattern Of Childbearing: Past Research On Low‐fementioning
“…Previous studies using visualization techniques of the Lexis surface either focused on data from a single country (Calot et al 1998), sub-national regions (Campbell and Robards 2014;Rau et al 2018), or a more limited number of countries (Burkimsher 2017). Compared to previous research, our paper combines different tools of the Lexis surface in a novel way and explores a large number of countries, supporting a more finegrained comparison of multiple pieces of information for the exploration of fertility trends over time and across geographic regions.…”
Section: Summary and Discussion Of The Main Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On the other hand, both England and Wales and Scotland show lower cohort fertility with replacement fertility being lost for women born around 1955. For the remaining Western European countries, replacement fertility appeared lost even for earlier cohorts, with German-speaking countries, displaying more pronounced patterns in fertility measured at 1.50 children per woman (see earlier discussion for West and East Germany in section 3.1 and for the latter, Rau et al 2018; for Switzerland, see Burkimsher 2017 andCalot et al 1998). A high level of heterogeneity is also observed among Eastern and Central European countries, which either show lost fertility replacement or pronounced levels of 1.50 children per woman for cohorts born approximately after 1960, who have been affected by the collapse of the Socialist regime.…”
Section: Fertility Trends In 45 Countriesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Data visualization techniques such as Lexis surfaces have become an increasingly popular tool to investigate trends in fertility and other population characteristics in recent years (Burkimsher 2017;Calot et al 1998;Campbell and Robards 2014;Rau et al 2018;Vaupel, Gambill, and Yashin 1987). They provide convenient visual arrangements of birth rates and related indicators by calendar time, age, and/or cohort, and are thus an effective tool for both the exploration and the identification of dynamic patterns and relationships arising from fertility data.…”
BACKGROUND The Human Fertility Database (HFD) and Human Fertility Collection (HFC) provide disaggregated data on age-specific fertility rates for 45 countries. These sources offer the opportunity to learn about the development of different pathways of transition to low fertility both within and between countries. OBJECTIVE The aim of this paper is to use composite fertility lattice plots, which combine information from different visualization techniques of the Lexis surface, namely level plots and contour plots, to explore changes in age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and the implied (period-based) cumulative cohort fertility rates (cumulative pseudo cohort fertility rates, CPCFRs) across countries and geographic regions. METHODS Through key examples we introduce a new refinement of the Lexis surface, combining level plots, which use colour/shade to indicate ASFRs, and contour lines to indicate fertility milestones for given cohorts (CPCFRs). We have also developed a web-based app to allow researchers to produce their own fertility Lexis surfaces. RESULTS Results show that once countries have fallen below a replacement fertility level, they tend to not return to it. Exceptions are Norway and the United States, which saw rising fertility rates for cohorts born after the 1950s and late 1960s respectively. The age-specific fertility trends, as well as broader political and socioeconomic conditions, are very different in these countries, suggesting different paths by which replacement fertility rates might be achieved.
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