Evaluating energy security performance from 1990 to 2010 for eighteen countries

Sovacool, Benjamin K.; Mukherjee, Ishani; Drupady, Ira Martina; D’Agostino, Anthony

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2011.08.040

Cited by 213 publications

(124 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…Fossil fuels are used both for transport and electricity generation. Moreover, between 1990 and 2010 Cambodia saw a decline in energy security (Sovacool et al 2011). …”

Section: Cambodia's Hydropower Strategymentioning

confidence: 99%

Hydropower, social priorities and the rural–urban development divide: The case of large dams in Cambodia

et al. 2015

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Hydropower investment is a priority in many developing countries, as a means to increase electrification rates and promote national development. However, neglect of dam-affected people"s needs, can make them vulnerable to the multifaceted impacts of such projects. Using the case of Cambodia"s first large dam, the Kamchay dam, this paper reveals social priorities of affected communities and institutional actors linked to environmental and social implications of large hydropower projects using a preference ranking method. Qualitative research revealed concerns among dam-affected communities which included energy access, livelihood changes, environmental impacts, access to natural resources and compensation. Results also reveal divergence between national and local priorities, which in turn brings about an unequal distribution of costs and benefits of the Kamchay Dam between urban and rural areas. The paper provides recommendations to policy-makers, NGOs and international organizations regarding governance issues, consultation processes and mitigation measures.

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“…Fossil fuels are used both for transport and electricity generation. Moreover, between 1990 and 2010 Cambodia saw a decline in energy security (Sovacool et al 2011). …”

Section: Cambodia's Hydropower Strategymentioning

confidence: 99%

Hydropower, social priorities and the rural–urban development divide: The case of large dams in Cambodia

et al. 2015

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“…This definition has received great attention from research institutions and scholars such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) [27,28] and the Asia Pacific Energy Research Center [29]. According to this definition, many scholars have carried out a lot of research on the energy security issue (Yergin [30], Van der Linde [31], Sovacool [32,33], Winzer [34]). However, Von [35] pointed out that this definition has become less salient for policy formation as energy markets have become more globally diverse, therefore, there are many energy security elements that need to be accounted for in addition to the traditional supply-side viewpoint such as environment, technology, social and cultural factors and more.…”

Section: Definition Of Energy Supply Securitymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…[44,77] Energy efficiency GDP/Ec Ec-Total energy consumption [32,36,56,57,60,[63][64][65][66]78] Data sources: Main data sources include the China Statistics Yearbook (2006-2017), the National Bureau of Statistics of The People's Republic of China, and the Wind Database. The reserve and production ratios and production diversity index were derived from the China Statistics Yearbook.…”

Section: Energy Supply Security Index Constructionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A New Hybrid Method for China’s Energy Supply Security Forecasting Based on ARIMA and XGBoost

Пин

Zhang

2018

Energies

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Abstract:Energy supply security is a significant part of China's security, directly influencing national security and economic and social sustainability. To ensure both China's present and the future energy supply, it is essential to evaluate and forecast the energy supply level. However, forecasting the energy supply security level is difficult because energy supply security is dynamic, many factors affect it and there is a lack of accurate and comprehensive data. Therefore, based on previous studies and according to the characteristics of energy supply and the social development of China, first, the authors apply a comprehensive evaluation method to quantify the energy supply security. Second, based on the ARIMA-XGBoost hybrid model, the authors create two novel approaches for forecasting the energy supply security level of China. The authors find that: (1) energy supply security is dynamic, and green development has become the theme of China's energy development. The energy industry urgently needs to provide more high-quality ecological energy products to meet the people's desire for a beautiful ecological environment; (2) since the mean absolute percentage errors are below 4.5% when forecasting the energy supply security indicators, the ARIMA-XGBoost hybrid model is more accurate for forecasting China's energy supply security level and (3) the security level of China's energy supply has developed periodic features; the ESSI can improve by about 0.2 every five years, but, due to the low starting point and multiple types of constraints, it is difficult to reach the safety level in a short time.

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“…We must empathize that these five dimensions have been validated by recent quantitative assessments of energy security 22 as well qualitative research with energy experts 17 , a series of focus groups and workshops 20 , and surveys of energy security attitudes both looking internally at China 24 as well as a comparative sample of eleven countries including China 51-52 . 7 …”

Section: Dimensions and Metricsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…(3) How can the provincial energy security of China be enhanced? 4 Interestingly, despite an abundance of research on energy security metrics and performance [14][15][16][17][18][19][20] , no studies have as of yet answered these three questions. Admittedly, many studies have investigated China's energy security issues [21][22][23][24][25][26][27] .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring energy security performance within China: Toward an inter-provincial prospective

Zhang

Sovacool

et al. 2017

Energy

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104

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ABSTRACT:China has been the world's largest energy consumer and producer for many years, yet while myriad studies have investigated Chinese performance on energy metrics compared to other countries, few to none have looked internally at Chinese provinces. This paper firstly develops a five-dimensional evaluation system centered on the energy security dimensions of availability and diversity, affordability and equality, technology and efficiency, environmental sustainability, and governance and innovation. It then correlates these dimensions to 20 distinct energy security metrics that are used to assess the energy security performance of 30 Chinese provinces, divided into eight regions. Our results reveal both trends in energy policy and practice as well as provincial status of comparative energy security for the year 2013. We find, for instance, that there is no province which performs well in all five of the energy security dimensions, and that all provinces confronted threats related to energy availability and diversity. We also demonstrate that in comparative terms, the Middle Reaches of Yellow River and the Northwest were the most energysecure, while the Middle Reaches of Yangtze River and the Northeast were least energy-secure.

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Evaluating energy security performance from 1990 to 2010 for eighteen countries

Cited by 213 publications

References 23 publications

Hydropower, social priorities and the rural–urban development divide: The case of large dams in Cambodia

Hydropower, social priorities and the rural–urban development divide: The case of large dams in Cambodia

A New Hybrid Method for China’s Energy Supply Security Forecasting Based on ARIMA and XGBoost

Measuring energy security performance within China: Toward an inter-provincial prospective

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