Evaluating and improving the sustainability of ecosystem services in river basins under climate change

Ashrafi, Saeed; Kerachian, Reza; Pourmoghim, Parastoo; Behboudian, Massoud; Motlaghzadeh, Kasra

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150702

Cited by 37 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 26 publications

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“…recreation, esthetic assets, and spiritual fulfillment) (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005;Haines-Young & Potschin, 2018). In recent decades, the growing demand of resources by humans is endangering ecosystem integrity, and thus, the capacity of ecosystems to provide services in a sustainable way (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005;Nishijima & Belgrano, 2020;O'Brien et al, 2021;Ashrafi et al, 2022). In fact, pollution, overexploitation of resources, and the introduction of exotic species are major threats to many ecosystem services (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005;Shinichiro et al, 2009;Lodge et al, 2012;Vilà & Hulme 2017;Cañedo-Argüelles, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of the invasive aquatic snail Potamopyrgus antipodarum (Gray, 1853) on ecosystem properties and services

et al. 2023

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Ecosystems provide benefits to humans, including provisioning, regulating, and cultural services. However, invasive species can threaten ecosystem well-functioning and services provided. One invasive species with such potential is the New Zealand mud snail (NZMS) Potamopyrgus antipodarum. The aims of this study are focused on the quantitative review of (1) the NZMS impacts on ecosystem properties and their direct links with ecosystem services, and (2) the ecosystem services that can be affected by the NZMS. The high density reached by this species in most of the invaded ecosystems and its highly competitive ability affect ecosystem structure and functioning. However, some facilitation processes on native species may result in an improvement of some services. The NZMS tends to positively affect cultural services (88% positive cases) but negatively to provisioning services (77% of cases). Regarding, regulating and maintenance services, the proportions of positive and negative effects were similar (45% vs 36%, respectively). Therefore, the NZMS is a species with numerous negative impacts on ecosystem services. However, ecosystem services related to health (e.g., dilution effect against parasites) and research (e.g., biomonitoring) are cultural services that the NZMS can improve. No economic assessment of the impacts of the NZMS is available in the literature.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of the invasive aquatic snail Potamopyrgus antipodarum (Gray, 1853) on ecosystem properties and services

et al. 2023

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“…Climate change has increased the importance of rainfall forecasting, because it has changed the duration and frequency of floods and increased their magnitude (Ashrafi, Kerachian, et al., 2022; Ashrafi, Khoie, et al., 2022). As a result of inundation, landslides, and debris flows in urban areas, heavy rainfall often leads to fatalities and significant financial damages (Seo et al., 2014).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Automatic Hyperparameter Tuning on the Performance of Multi‐Variate Deep Learning‐Based Rainfall Nowcasting

Amini

Dolatshahi

Kerachian

2023

Water Resources Research

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Climate change has increased the importance of rainfall forecasting, because it has changed the duration and frequency of floods and increased their magnitude Ashrafi, Khoie, et al., 2022). As a result of inundation, landslides, and debris flows in urban areas, heavy rainfall often leads to fatalities and significant financial damages (Seo et al., 2014). Furthermore, overflow resulting from heavy rainfall is a primary contributor to the transport of water pollutants (Lintern et al., 2018). Various preventive measures have been developed, including flood warning systems, to alleviate damages caused by rainfall and enable urban flood management infrastructures to operate more efficiently. Therefore, accurate and reliable rainfall forecasting is essential in urban areas (Poornima & Pushpalatha, 2019). Reliable rainfall nowcasting is a challenging and complex undertaking since rainfall features are influenced by various variables, such as pressure, temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed (Govindaraju, 2000). Due to the difficulty in obtaining meteorological data and the complexity of estimating relationships among variables, physical models are not usually suitable for rainfall nowcasting. An effective alternative is to use empirical models to determine the relationship between inputs like temperature and relative humidity and outputs like rainfall (Nasseri et al., 2008). To ensure optimal performance for urban drainage infrastructures, rainfall nowcasting frameworks should be able to make accurate forecasts with different lead times. Researches on rainfall forecasting and its influencing factors have been conducted for decades, and many approaches have been proposed. There are various traditional forecasting models in the literature, which have been developed using classic time series algorithms such as linear regression, autoregressive moving average (ARMA), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural networks (ANNs), numerical weather predictions (NWPs), and Fuzzy logic algorithm (

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“…With the expansion of the research content of “production-living-ecological space”, the research of “production-living-ecological space” has been enriched under different research scales, such as national, provincial, municipal, and township. In terms of the “production-living-ecological” function of watersheds, the main studies include river continuity restoration [ 13 , 14 ], watershed hydropower utilization studies [ 15 , 16 ], hydrological productivity enhancement studies [ 17 , 18 ], biofuel impact studies on watershed water quality [ 19 , 20 ], integrated river basin management and maintenance [ 21 , 22 , 23 , 24 ], the quantitative identification of “production-living-ecological” functions of watersheds [ 25 , 26 ], and the sustainable development of ecological services in watersheds [ 27 ], among others. Some scholars have explored changes in ecological functions of watersheds in terms of natural factors and the effects of land use and land cover changes on hydrological conditions of watersheds, such as the frequency and severity of floods in watersheds, baseflow, flow, and degree of soil erosion [ 28 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Prediction of the Coordination Level of “Production-Living-Ecological” Function Coupling in the Yellow River Basin, China

Zhang

Wang

et al. 2022

IJERPH

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To clarify the evolution of “production-living-ecological” function coupling in the Yellow River Basin, coordinating the spatial allocation of resources, development management and layout optimization, is an important means for achieving ecological protection and high-quality development in the region. In this paper, we conducted an empirical analysis and ARIMA prediction of the coupled production-living-ecological function coordination level in the Yellow River Basin of China from 2008 to 2018, and found that: (1) In terms of temporal evolution, the production-living-ecological function and coupling coordination level of each province and region in the Yellow River Basin generally shows a sharp and then slow upward trend, with the living functions changing more than the production and ecological functions; (2) in terms of spatial pattern, the production and living functions of each province and region show the trend of functional level increasing from east to west over time; the ecological functions, contrary to production and living functions, show a “high-low” aggregation, midstream shows “low-low” aggregation, and downstream shows “low-high” aggregation; (3) According to the regression results of the spatial Dubin model, the environmental governance level, technological research and development level, and social security level and resource dependence degree have positive promoting and spillover effects on the coupling coordination level of the “production-living-ecological” function in the region. However, population density and carbon emission intensity will hinder the development of regional coupling coordination level; (4) from the ARIMA prediction, the coupling coordination level of “production-living-ecological” in the Yellow River Basin continues the development trend of 2008–2018 in the short term, the overall coordination level is at a high level, and the variability of coupling coordination level among provinces and regions is further reduced. Finally, corresponding development countermeasures and suggestions are given to different provinces and regions based on the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics, influencing factors and development trend of the “production-living-ecological” function in the Yellow River basin.

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Evaluating and improving the sustainability of ecosystem services in river basins under climate change

Cited by 37 publications

References 26 publications

Effects of the invasive aquatic snail Potamopyrgus antipodarum (Gray, 1853) on ecosystem properties and services

Effects of the invasive aquatic snail Potamopyrgus antipodarum (Gray, 1853) on ecosystem properties and services

Effects of Automatic Hyperparameter Tuning on the Performance of Multi‐Variate Deep Learning‐Based Rainfall Nowcasting

Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Prediction of the Coordination Level of “Production-Living-Ecological” Function Coupling in the Yellow River Basin, China

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