Ethiopia's Growth and Transformation Plan: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Alternative Financing Options

Engida, Ermias; Tamru, Seneshaw; Tsehaye, Eyasu; Debowicz, Darío; Dorosh, Paul A.; Robinson, Sherman

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2161408

Cited by 9 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 5 publications

(4 reference statements)

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“…The Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) on which this model is calibrated was first developed by the Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI) for a 2005/06 snapshot of the Ethiopian economy and later updated for 2009/10 by Engida et al [42]. The SAM was updated with the following procedure.…”

Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Household Welfare Implications of Better Fertilizer Access and Lower Use Inefficiency: Long-Term Scenarios for Ethiopia

et al. 2019

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High population growth in Ethiopia is aggravating farmland scarcity, as the agrarian share of the population stays persistently high, and also creates increasing demand for food and non-food biomass. Based on this fact, this study investigates welfare implications of intensification measures like interventions that improve access and use efficiency to modern farming inputs. Using a dynamic meso-economic modeling framework for Ethiopia, ex-ante scenarios that simulate a) decreased costs of fertilizer use and b) elevated efficiency of fertilizer application for all crops are run for a period of 20 years. Fertilizer-yield response functions are estimated (based on results from an agronomic crop model and actual survey data) and embedded into the economic model in order to get realistic marginal returns to fertilizer application. This is our novel methodological contribution in which we introduce how to calculate input use inefficiency based on attainable yield levels from agronomic crop model and actual yield levels. Simultaneous implementation of these interventions lead to annual yield increases of 8.7 percent for an average crop farmer compared to the current level. Increased fertilizer application is also found to be profitable for an average farmer despite price reduction for crops following increased market supply. As a result of price and income effects of the interventions, all household types exhibit welfare gain. Non-farming households, being net consumers, enjoy lower costs of living. Rural farming households enjoy even higher welfare gain than non-farming households because they consume a higher share from crop commodities that become cheaper, and because their farming profits increase.

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Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Household Welfare Implications of Better Fertilizer Access and Lower Use Inefficiency: Long-Term Scenarios for Ethiopia

et al. 2019

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“…29 This can hinder evidence-based decisionmaking, planning and resource allocation for maternal health programmes. The Ethiopian government has implemented several interventions such as health extension programme which focuses on improving maternal and child health by providing basic health services 30 31 ; emergency obstetric and newborn care in health facilities across the country to provide timely and appropriate care for obstetrical emergencies [32][33][34] ; trained skilled birth attendance to provide skilled birth attendance services [35][36][37] ; family planning services and increased access to modern contraceptive methods to help prevent unintended pregnancies 38 39 ; health system strengthening by improving the availability and quality of health services, training health workers and ensuring adequate supplies of drugs and equipment 40 41 ; and community-based interventions, such as community health workers and maternal and child health groups to increase awareness aimed at reducing maternal morbidity and mortality. 42 However, the existing interventions have not been systematically assessed.…”

Section: Open Accessmentioning

confidence: 99%

Framework for maternal morbidity and mortality interventions in Ethiopia: a systematic review protocol

Tadesse,

Regassa,

Kifle

et al. 2023

BMJ Open

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BackgroundMaternal morbidity and mortality remain critical public health challenges in Ethiopia with limited evidence on the effectiveness of interventions and health promotion strategies. A scoping review of the existing literature on maternal morbidity and mortality interventions and health promotion in Ethiopia can provide a comprehensive overview of the current evidence, identify research gaps and establish a framework for successful maternal morbidity and mortality interventions.ObjectiveThe systematic review seeks to assess the existing literature on maternal morbidity and mortality interventions in Ethiopia to develop an evidence-based framework for effective interventions.MethodThe methodology for this study adheres to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols guidelines for systematic review protocol. A comprehensive search strategy will be devised, in compliance with the highly sensitive search guidelines of Cochrane, which will involve using both snowball methods to identify relevant articles and searching electronic databases using specific key search terms. The following databases will be searched for studies to be included in the systematic review: MEDLINE (via PubMed), Embase, Scopus, Google Scholar, Web of Science, Science Direct and African Journals Online (AJOL).The search will be restricted to English language publications starting from January 2010 to May 2023. In a comprehensive review process, independent reviewers will meticulously assess titles, abstracts and full texts of studies, ensuring alignment with predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria at each stage of selection.Quality evaluation instruments appropriate for each research design will be used to assess the quality of the selected studies. The findings from the included studies will be analysed and summarised using a narrative synthesis approach.Ethics and disseminationSince this systematic review is based on the reviewing of existing literature and will not involve the collection of primary data, ethical approval is not required. The results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publication and conference presentations.PROSPERO registration numberCRD42023420990.

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“…Unlike data on output and input use levels, which often are available annually, data on factor shares are infrequent. We derive factor shares for labor, capital, land, chemical fertilizer, pesticides, and services from the 2009/10 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of Ethiopia (Engida et al 2011). We complement the latter by the relative output elasticities with respect to quantity of improved seeds, irrigation, and area covered by extension, obtained by estimating a crop production function using data from the Agricultural Growth Program (AGP) of Ethiopia baseline survey.…”

Section: Data Source and Coveragementioning

confidence: 99%

The transforming value chain of Ethiopia’s “orphan” tef crop

Bachewe

Regassa

Minten

et al. 2019

Planta

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Ethiopia's Growth and Transformation Plan: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Alternative Financing Options

Cited by 9 publications

References 5 publications

Household Welfare Implications of Better Fertilizer Access and Lower Use Inefficiency: Long-Term Scenarios for Ethiopia

Household Welfare Implications of Better Fertilizer Access and Lower Use Inefficiency: Long-Term Scenarios for Ethiopia

Framework for maternal morbidity and mortality interventions in Ethiopia: a systematic review protocol

The transforming value chain of Ethiopia’s “orphan” tef crop

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