Abstract:The actual incidence of human H7N9 infection is supposed to be much higher than the documented laboratoryconfirmed cases. In this study, we estimated the number of the actual H7N9 cases in Jiangsu, China using a probabilistic multiplier model. Then, disability adjusted life years (DALYs), direct and indirect economic loss caused by this disease were calculated and analyzed. Till September 2017, the estimated total number of H7N9 cases was 2 952 [median, 90% probability range (PR): 1 487−22 094], which was 11.8… Show more
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