2002
DOI: 10.1785/0120000837
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Estimates of Seismic Potential in the Marmara Sea Region from Block Models of Secular Deformation Constrained by Global Positioning System Measurements

Abstract: We model the geodetically observed secular velocity field in northwestern Turkey with a block model that accounts for recoverable elastic-strain accumulation. The block model allows us to estimate internally consistent fault slip rates and locking depths. The northern strand of the North Anatolian fault zone (NAFZ) carries approximately four times as much right-lateral motion (ϳ24 mm/yr) as does the southern strand. In the Marmara Sea region, the data show strain accumulation to be highly localized. We find th… Show more

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Cited by 215 publications
(249 citation statements)
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“…Slip partitioning in the Marmara region was previously examined by GPS data such that the computed slips rate range between 23 and 28 mm/ yr and between 2.9 to 9.6 mm/yr for the northern and southern branches, respectively (Meade et al, 2002;Nyst and Thatcher, 2004;Reilinger et al, 2006;Aktuğ et al, 2009;Le Pichon and Kreemer, 2010). The majority of these studies consider Marmara region.…”
Section: Gps Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Slip partitioning in the Marmara region was previously examined by GPS data such that the computed slips rate range between 23 and 28 mm/ yr and between 2.9 to 9.6 mm/yr for the northern and southern branches, respectively (Meade et al, 2002;Nyst and Thatcher, 2004;Reilinger et al, 2006;Aktuğ et al, 2009;Le Pichon and Kreemer, 2010). The majority of these studies consider Marmara region.…”
Section: Gps Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Many researches were conducted along the fault for investigating seismic potential (Stein et al, 1997;Barka and Reilinger, 1997;Reilinger et al, 2000Reilinger et al, , 2006Ayhan et al, 2002;Ergintav et al, 2002Ergintav et al, , 2007Meade et al, 2002;Ozener et al, 2009). The GCM-ITU network, that we focused, was established around Iznik region, and the points of network scattered along the middle strand.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The analyses of continuous time series, in cases where no abrupt changes have occurred in time series due to earthquakes and the principal strain accumulation from the interseismic velocities, are the most common elds of interest (Sagiya et al 2000. The information about the mechanism of earthquakes during coseismic deformation and the information about rheology of the fault zone and surrounding crust can also be obtained easily from the continuous time series recorded by dense and permanent GNSS networks (Ayhan et al 2001; Ergintav et al 2002). Turkey is one of the most active countries in terms of plate tectonics and is frequently hit by severe earthquakes.…”
Section: The Gnss Observationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The maximum values of seismic strain rate are placed in the Aegean and in the eastern and western parts Jimenez-Munt and Sabadini, 2002). The implications of low strains are studied in the western and central Marmara Sea block that accounts for recoverable growth of elastic strain (Meade et al 2002). By integrating the GNSS data from all over Turkey with the IGS network, we tried to estimate the crustal strain in Turkey between the years 2009 and 2017.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%