“…For some species, such as peppered chub that is now missing from >95% of its historical range and is relegated to a single population isolated between two reservoirs (Pennock et al, 2017), conservation actions must happen soon to avoid extinction. Outside of the Great Plains, there is emerging evidence that reduced water availability directly threatens fishes (Poff & Zimmerman, 2010;Xenopoulos et al, 2005), including arid and semiarid river systems in Australia (Baumgartner, Wooden, Conallin, Robinson, & Thiem, 2017;Humphries et al, 1999), Spain (Bernardo, Ilhéu, Matono, & Costa, 2003;Sánchez-Hernández & Nunn, 2016), South America (Fabré, Castello, Isaac, & Batista, 2017), and the United States (Ruhí, Olden, & Sabo, 2016). Given expectations of declining future water security for humans (Vörösmarty et al, 2010), there is a need to predict how such changes will affect fishes and inform fish conservation actions now and in the future (Closs, Krkosek, & Olden, 2015;Jaeger, Olden, & Pelland, 2014;Whitney, Whittier, & J. D., & Strecker, A. L., 2017).…”