Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City

Abstract

The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

A guide towards climate change adaptation in the livestock sector: adaptation options and the role of robust decision-making tools for their economic appraisal

“…Adaptations that can take effect relatively instantaneously can wait until the climate is observed to have changed, and can be reversed if they are no longer appropriate (although farmers will likely be observing Fig. 2 Decision-making steps: robust decision-making (Lempert et al 2013) trends and planning ahead before they take action). These types of adaptations can be appraised through (expected) formal or informal CBA.…”

“…Further applications include a set of coastal risk reduction and restoration projects in Louisiana, USA, given a budget constraint (Groves and Sharon 2013). In an application to flood risk management in Ho Chi Minh City's Nhieu Loc-Thi Nghe canal catchment, Lempert et al (2013) evaluated that the current infrastructure plan may not be the most robust strategy in many plausible futures emphasising the importance of adaptively using retreat measures.…”

Decision Analysis for Management of Natural Hazards

“…RDM has been applied to inform long-term planning for natural hazards, especially around water management (Groves et al, 2012, Groves and Lempert, 2007, Kalra et al, 2015, flood risk management (Fischbach, 2010, Lempert et al, 2013a and coastal flooding and storm surges (Groves et al, 2014). Figure 3 shows an example from RDM analysis, for water resources planning in Southern California (Lempert and Groves, 2010).…”

Evaluation of the Jinan City Water Ecological Development Implementation Plan and Recommendations for Improvement

“…1 In this chapter, we lay the foundation for the decision analysis to follow. RAND has successfully used the RDM approach to analyze long-term water management issues in many other settings in the United States and other countries (Groves, Fischbach, Bloom, et al, 2013;Groves, Fischbach, Kalra, et al, 2014;Lempert and Groves, 2010;Lempert, Kalra, et al, 2013;Fischbach et al, 2015). As part of the RDM approach to help visualize the results of the analysis and enable decision makers to gain greater clarity about the implications of results, we also developed an interactive decision support tool, referred to as a Planning Tool.…”