“…However, its performance has not yet been demonstrated over a drive cycle, and direct identification of some of the calibration parameters can be difficult, as many of the model states are not easily measurable. Other models for fully warm conditions (e.g., Benz et al, 2010;Lumsden, 2004) and cold start (e.g., Hirsch et al, 2008;Shayler et al, 1997) are of the black-box type. While they disregard the physics behind the emissions formation mechanisms, use of black-box engine-out emissions models appears to be necessary to enable dynamic optimization over drive cycles.…”