Key Points
Question
As nations develop, do they experience a systematic pattern in cancer trends by type, distinguishing between infectious-related and noninfectious-related cancers?
Findings
This cross-sectional study of 6 countries’ cancer mortality data from 1950 to 2018 found that a crossover in trends between the 2 main types of cancers (infectious-related and noninfectious-related) took place around 1990 in Japan and in the mid-1950s in Norway. For the other countries in the study, the trends in the 2 types of cancers do not intersect as they do for Japan and Norway, but those other nations still exhibit a cancer transition with declining rates of infectious-related cancers and rates of noninfectious-related cancers initially increasing, before eventually declining.
Meaning
These findings support the theory that cancer transitions are occurring in the US, select European nations, and Japan.