2006
DOI: 10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol27-no2-9
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Electricity Price Volatility and the Marginal Cost of Congestion: An Empirical Study of Peak Hours on the NYISO Market, 2001-2004

Abstract: We examine the volatility characteristics of the NYISO Day Ahead and Real Time electricity markets for peak hours from January 2001 to June 2004. GARCH models are used to study the differences in volatility across zones. We find that price volatility is higher but less persistent in the Real Time market than in the Day Ahead market. Furthermore, we document the importance of transmission congestion and empirically estimate its impact on volatility in electricity prices. We also examine the Day Ahead premium an… Show more

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Cited by 59 publications
(34 citation statements)
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References 29 publications
(47 reference statements)
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“…We compute the standard deviations by using a moving window of 25 days (about one trading month) for all factors described in the data section. This methodology is in line with Hadsell and Shawky (2006) and Oberndorfer (2008), and has more formal support than "de-meaning" the mean equation (as in Bologna and Cavallo (2002) for instance).…”
Section: Introducing Exogenous Variablesmentioning
confidence: 64%
“…We compute the standard deviations by using a moving window of 25 days (about one trading month) for all factors described in the data section. This methodology is in line with Hadsell and Shawky (2006) and Oberndorfer (2008), and has more formal support than "de-meaning" the mean equation (as in Bologna and Cavallo (2002) for instance).…”
Section: Introducing Exogenous Variablesmentioning
confidence: 64%
“…A large body of economic literature deals with the structure and evolution of energy markets [19,20,21], market failures, and arbitrage opportunities for securities traders (e.g. [22,23]). …”
Section: Wholesale Electricity Marketsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They document important differences among the regional electricity markets not only with respect to wholesale price volatility and seasonal variations, but also with respect to asymmetric properties and persistence of volatility. Hadsell and Shawky (2006) examine the volatility characteristics of the NYISO day-ahead and real time electricity markets for peak hours from January 2001 to June 2004. They use GARCH to study the differences in volatility across zones and find that price volatility is higher but less persistent in the real time market than in the day-ahead market.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%