Ein Modell für die Fuchspopulationsdynamik in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland

Braunschweig, A. v.

doi:10.1007/978-94-017-5592-4_8

Cited by 7 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…Subsequently, any rabies case will be detected with a probability of 2% [16,24,93,94]. Rabid juvenile foxes will be detected only from August onwards [15].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Emergency vaccination of rabies under limited resources – combating or containing?

et al. 2005

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Background: Rabies is the most important viral zoonosis from a global perspective. Worldwide efforts to combat the disease by oral vaccination of reservoirs have managed to eradicate wildlife rabies in large areas of central Europe and North-America. Thus, repeated vaccination has been discontinued recently on a geographical scale. However, as rabies has not yet been eradicated globally, a serious risk of re-introduction remains. What is the best spatial design for an emergency vaccination program -particularly if resources are limited? Either, we treat a circular area around the detected case and run the risk of infected hosts leaving the limited control area, because a sufficient immunisation level has not yet been built up. Or, initially concentrate the SAME resources in order to establish a protective ring which is more distant from the infected local area, and which then holds out against the challenge of the approaching epidemic.

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“…Subsequently, any rabies case will be detected with a probability of 2% [16,24,93,94]. Rabid juvenile foxes will be detected only from August onwards [15].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Emergency vaccination of rabies under limited resources – combating or containing?

et al. 2005

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“…However, the ¢nal success remains uncertain despite the well-organized surveillance programme deployed in eastern Germany (89 721 foxes have been registered during the past six years, 2013 of them were rabid, see also ¢gure 1). This uncertainty results from the unknown host population size, the £at-case detection rate, which is estimated to range between just 2% (Braunschweig 1980) and 10% (Bacon & MacDonald 1981;Schlu« ter & Mu« ller 1995), and the low probability of detection of infected foxes at the end of an epidemic (Bacon 1981). Even though some regions in eastern Germany are presumably free of rabies in view of its complete regional cessation, other subareas show lasting sporadic incidences.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Chance and risk of controlling rabies in large–scale and long–term immunized fox populations

Tischendorf

Thulke

Staubach³

et al. 1998

Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B

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The large-scale immunization of European fox populations against rabies is currently under the microscope for reducing the considerable expenditure without putting public health at risk. Empirical knowledge is inadequate to interpret the lasting sporadic incidences and, therefore, to verify the ¢nal success of the immunization campaigns. By using a proven simulation model we show that rabies can persist on a very low level in the form of spatio-temporal moving infection clusters within a highly immunized fox population. We found further: (i) the existence of a threshold after which the chance of eradicating the disease by vaccination increases clearly, and (ii) that at least six years of 70% mean immunization rate are required to guarantee a likely success.

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“…There were also unconfirmed reports of dead raccoons being found by residents on Wolfe Island that were not submitted for rabies diagnosis due to their deteriorated condition. It is believed that only 5% to 10% of rabid animals in a given area are actually reported (Braunschweig, 1980;MacDonald, 1980;Bacon, 1981). Another possible explanation for the low number of rabies cases is that animals incubating rabies were euthanized during the population reduction program before clinical rabies developed.…”

Section: Rabies Control Operationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Elimination of Raccoon Rabies From Wolfe Island, Ontario: Animal Density and Movements

Rosatte

MacDonald

Sobey

et al. 2007

Journal of Wildlife Diseases

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Ein Modell für die Fuchspopulationsdynamik in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland

Cited by 7 publications

References 0 publications

Emergency vaccination of rabies under limited resources – combating or containing?

Emergency vaccination of rabies under limited resources – combating or containing?

Chance and risk of controlling rabies in large–scale and long–term immunized fox populations

The Elimination of Raccoon Rabies From Wolfe Island, Ontario: Animal Density and Movements

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