Effect of major policy disruptions in energy system transition: Case Finland

Pilpola, Sannamari; Lund, Peter

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.02.028

Cited by 28 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…This way the market disruption risks and risk to increase fossil fuel utilization can be minimized in comparison to a situation where only few energy sources are dominating (Pilpola & Lund 2018). The energy mix could include more solar, wind and nuclear power as well as possibly modern carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies (Pilpola & Lund 2018). However, the results of this thesis do not suggest ending wood-based energy generation completely, but to add more material cascading loops before energy recovery.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…The results of this thesis suggest that diversifying the energy source mix in Finland and focusing on decreasing the energy demand by integrated technologies might be the most feasible solutions. This way the market disruption risks and risk to increase fossil fuel utilization can be minimized in comparison to a situation where only few energy sources are dominating (Pilpola & Lund 2018). The energy mix could include more solar, wind and nuclear power as well as possibly modern carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies (Pilpola & Lund 2018).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Wood utilization scenarios and their sustainability impacts in Finland

Kunttu¹

2020

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Social, economic and environmental impacts vary in different wood utilization patterns, and national level strategies should consider possible trade-offs and regional needs. This thesis explored a variety of wood utilization scenarios in Finland and assessed their possible future benefits and trade-offs in environmental, economic and social sustainability, forming plausible pathways to actualize preferred outcomes reflecting different priorities in the goal setting. The research was conducted by using model-based sustainability assessment tools, material flow based Tool for Sustainability Impact Assessment (ToSIA) and Lifecycle Assessment (LCA), and explorative participatory scenario methods visualizing the targets quantitatively. The participatory methods utilized actor and researcher stakeholders from industry, policy, and multiple R&D fields. The results showed that cascading and shifting secondary wood flows e.g. industrial side streams and end-of-life wood-based products from energy uses to material uses, results in increased climate benefits and economic competitiveness. Energy use of wood had lower employment, value added, and substitution benefits as well as shorter carbon storing time compared with material uses of wood. Thus, modern wood-based construction, chemicals, textiles and composites need to increase their share in the product portfolios. National policy tools can support this development only to a limited extent, because the global markets set the market framework for wood uses. To change the global market environment, internationally renewed policies aiming at restricting fossil uses are needed to make wood-based material applications more competitive. European Union (EU) policies should also apply incentives to support factor integrates supporting renewable resource savings. Public financial support to develop new processing technologies and product design of wood-based modern applications are needed to boost cost-competitiveness. Industries and other private investors can contribute to sustainable development by focusing on improving existing processing technologies and making them more resource and energy efficient. However, international policy efforts are still needed to increase the mix of alternative clean energy forms in Finland.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Wood utilization scenarios and their sustainability impacts in Finland

Kunttu¹

2020

Diss. For.

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“…While the industrial framing was favorable in weathering the impacts of the forest-industrial restructuring since the beginning of 2000s, the Finnish bioenergy policy has not been able to take advantage of the alternative technologies and societal networks that have emerged around the dispersed energy production [48]. This successful, but single-eyed, technological orientation has been questioned in light of a wider technology transition that is required to achieve more significant carbon emission reductions [62].…”

Section: The Sticky Policy Trajectories Of the Three Re Policy Leadersmentioning

confidence: 99%

‘Sticky’ Policies—Three Country Cases on Long-Term Commitment and Rooting of RE Policy Goals

2020

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Denmark, Germany, and Finland are countries that have emerged as technology leaders in key renewable energy fields—wind energy, solar power, and bioenergy. In this article, we dig into the policy trajectories of these countries and concentrate particularly on a phenomenon that is common for them all—the long-term commitment to promoting particular renewable energy (RE) technologies. Analyzing commitment, its causes and its consequences, can be considered important, as earlier findings show that long-term, consistent policy signals are a key for policy success. In this article, we point out that this ‘sticking’ to a RE technology has emerged and manifested in multiple ways in the case countries. Examples include relying on existing cultural capacities when navigating energy policy direction, strategically promoting scaling of technology markets to root new energy practices in society and developing energy policies as an extension of existing socio-technical structures. In order to understand these dynamics in more depth, we utilize literature on policy robustness and resilience. While all the case countries, Denmark, Germany, and Finland, have generated robust RE policy goals, Finland has failed to foster resilience simultaneously. We conclude that analysing stickiness of policy elements can be fruitful when seeking to understand and design transformative policies. Further, it can be taken as a complementary analytical perspective in the policy mix studies.

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“…This has also partially led to an analytical bias, as Russian state-owned or controlled companies make energy contracts not with the EU, but with individual member states and their respective energy companies under national ownership or control [54,57]. In contrast, the argument this paper aims to develop is that energy trade relations in the context of Russia's influence on Western countries are best understood through the analysis of threat perceptions and the ability to substitute current incomes from other energy forms [17,24,26]. Although Russia may not behave as a liberal actor as the EU [58], it may still operate through spheres of trade.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Saastamoinen and Kuosmanen [25] applied a quality frontier model to measuring the quality of domestic electricity supply security. Pilpola and Lund [26] used a national energy system model to assess policy risks related to nuclear power and biomass. Excluding the studies of Aalto et al [17] and Ochoa and Gore [27], the analysis of Finnish-Russian energy relations is typically based on historical analysis focusing on oil (e.g., References [25,28]) and nuclear power (e.g., References [29,30]).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Finland’s Dependence on Russian Energy—Mutually Beneficial Trade Relations or an Energy Security Threat?

et al. 2018

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Studies on energy security in the context of relations between European Union (EU) and Russia tend to focus on cases, with an open conflict related to supply, such as “hard” energy weapons, or on only one fuel, often natural gas. However, there is a need to understand the long-term impacts that energy relations have politically, economically and physically, and their linkages between resilience, sustainability and security. We analyse the Finnish-Russian energy relations as a case study, as they are characterised by a non-conflictual relationship. To assess this complex relationship, we apply the interdependence framework to analyse both the energy systems and energy strategies of Finland and Russia, and the energy security issues related to the notable import dependence on one supplier. Moreover, we analyse the plausible development of the energy trade between the countries in three different energy policy scenarios until 2040. The findings of the article shed light on how the trends in energy markets, climate change mitigation and broader societal and political trends could influence Russia’s energy trade relations with countries, such as Finland. Our analysis shows that Finland’s dependence on primary energy imports does not pose an acute energy security threat in terms of sheer supply, and the dependence is unlikely to worsen in the future. However, due to the difficulty in anticipating societal, political, and economic trends, there are possible developments that could affect Finland.

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Effect of major policy disruptions in energy system transition: Case Finland

Cited by 28 publications

References 37 publications

Wood utilization scenarios and their sustainability impacts in Finland

Wood utilization scenarios and their sustainability impacts in Finland

‘Sticky’ Policies—Three Country Cases on Long-Term Commitment and Rooting of RE Policy Goals

Finland’s Dependence on Russian Energy—Mutually Beneficial Trade Relations or an Energy Security Threat?

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