Effect of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Co-integration Model Approach

Ayinde, Opeyemi Eyitayo; Muchie, Mammo; Olatunji, G. B.

doi:10.1080/09709274.2011.11906406

Cited by 97 publications

(72 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…For instance, crop production and processing contributes over 80% of agricultural GDP and more than 48% of total non-oil GDP in Nigeria (CBN, [13]). Ayinde, Muche, Olatunji [14] pointed out that climate fluctuation is putting Nigeria's agricultural system under serious threat and stress. This implies that rural sustainability and food security is under serious threat as crop production takes significant aspect of agricultural activities in Nigeria.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Effects of Climate Change on Crop Output in Nigeria

Agba¹,

Adewara²,

Adama³

et al. 2017

AJCC

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This study investigates the effects of climate change factors and non-climate change factors on crop output in Nigeria. Empirical research approach was adopted with the use of secondary sources of time series annual data obtained from reputable sources for the period 1980-2013. Error Correction Mechanism was used for the analysis. It was found that in the short run, only rainfall tested significantly positive to crop output among the climate change factors but there is evidence of significant effects of all climate change factors on crop output in the long-run. For example, temperature, carbon dioxide emission, carbon emission and rainfall were tested significantly to crop output. Furthermore, non-climate change factors like economically active population, gross capital formation, and land area equipped for irrigation were significantly positive to crop output. To forestall the effects of climate change on crop output, the study recommends that policy makers should formulate policies that will aid farmers towards adaptation practices in farming that can mitigate the effects of climate change. Furthermore, governments and other relevant agencies should also design programmes that can motivate the masses to increase their involvement in crop production.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Effects of Climate Change on Crop Output in Nigeria

Agba¹,

Adewara²,

Adama³

et al. 2017

AJCC

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show abstract

“…These include unprecedented floods in hitherto dry areas, iron toxicity caused by soil degradation, frequent intervening dry spells as well as extreme temperatures experienced across the country. This climatic fluctuation is putting Nigeria's agriculture system especially crop production under serious threat and stress (Ayinde et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Utilization of climate change adaptation strategies among rice farmers in three states of Nigeria

Onyegbula¹,

Oladeji²

2017

J. Agric. Ext. Rural Dev

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The phenomenon of climate change has negative impacts on rice production in Nigeria as it lowers its output and reduces farmers' income with a resultant depreciation in their livelihood. This accentuates the need for adaptation to climate change in order to reduce the growing dependency on rice importation, ensure food security as well as achieve a sustainable rice production system in Nigeria. The study therefore investigated the utilization of climate change adaptation strategies among rice farmers in three states of Nigeria. Data were collected from 298 rice farmers using interview schedule in Ebonyi, Ekiti and Niger States on their socio-economic and farm enterprise characteristics, knowledge and utilization of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy (CCAS). Data analysis was done using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) and analysis of variance (ANOVA). Knowledge of CCAS was high (55.7%) among respondents while utilization of CCAS was low (65.4%). A non-significant difference existed in the use of CCAS across the states (F = 43.15; p-value>0.05). However, continuous and frequent weeding, appropriate use of fertilizer, and early harvesting of crops were major CCAS used by respondents. The result implies that rice farmers are not totally ignorant of CCAS, but have been using one form of adaptation strategy or the other irrespective of the agro-ecology. Also, the study revealed that CCAS is ecology specific thus effective utilization should be ensured.

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“…Antwi-Agyei et al (2012) found that climate change and droughts in Ghana had the strongest effect on the agriculture section in terms of the vulnerability of crops. Ayinde et al (2011) studied the effect of climate change on agricultural productivity in Nigeria; they revealed that changes in climate, particularly in the pattern of rainfall, had a significant impact on the agricultural productivity. Lilleor and van den Broeck (2011) believed that environmental changes, along with economic and social factors, provided the conditions for immigration.…”

Section: Review Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Using Structural Equation Modeling Approach to Investigate Farmers' Perception Consequences of Drought (Case Study: Birjand Township, Iran)

Hosseini¹

2018

Appl. Ecol. Env. Res.

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Abstract. As a natural disaster and inevitable phenomenon, droughts are frequently seen in vast areas of different countries, particularly in areas with hot and dry climates. It has resulted in heavy economic, social, and environmental losses. Undoubtedly, the first step to cope with droughts and their consequences is to have an accurate understanding of droughts and their effects on different aspects by specifying the related strategies and approaches in this regard. Given the importance of this issue, the present study was conducted to investigate how to model farmers' perception of consequences of drought through structural equation modeling in Birjand Township, Iran. All farmer households living in rural areas of Birjand (a city in the Iranian province of Southern Khorasan) composed the statistical population of this study (N=6057). As many as 200 households were chosen for the study by using Bartlett's table. In total, 20 villages were considered as the target districts using stratified random sampling. The results showed that the most important consequences of droughts understood by the farmers are their economic (0.341), environmental (0.261), and social (0.138) consequences. The highest indirect effects on the farmers' perception of consequences of drought in Birjand were: reduced income (0.286), increased bank debts (0.272), reduced purchasing power (0.265), and the wells, aqueducts and springs that have dried (0.224) respectively. In this regard, measures such as supporting the investment and entrepreneurship, granting banking facilities and credits, governmental oversight on water withdrawals from groundwater sources, development of infrastructures and irrigation and water supply networks, reuse of wastewater, identification and promotion of products compatible with saline and unconventional waters, development of support services and social security for rural communities and development and promotion of drought insurance are proposed in order to reduce the consequences of drought.

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Effect of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Co-integration Model Approach

Cited by 97 publications

References 2 publications

Analysis of the Effects of Climate Change on Crop Output in Nigeria

Analysis of the Effects of Climate Change on Crop Output in Nigeria

Utilization of climate change adaptation strategies among rice farmers in three states of Nigeria

Using Structural Equation Modeling Approach to Investigate Farmers' Perception Consequences of Drought (Case Study: Birjand Township, Iran)

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