Economic impact of climate change on crop farming in Bangladesh: An application of Ricardian method

Hossain, MZ; Arshad, Muhammad Umair; Lu, Qian; Zhao, Minjuan; Mehmood, Yasir; Kächele, Harald

doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106354

Cited by 81 publications

(41 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…The role of climate change in economic growth has dominated global policy discussions for many decades (Berrera & Hertel, 2021 ; Chauhan et al, 2020 ; Food and Agriculture Organization [FAO] et al ., 2019 ; Hossain et al, 2019 ; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2001 ). Development practitioners and policymakers describe frequent climate variability as a menace and an obstacle to sustainable global growth and development (Boko et al, 2007 ; Murphy & Drexhage, 2010 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While policy consensus is required to mitigate the prevailing symptoms of food insecurity, the underlying drivers of global food insecurity remain complex and inconclusive (Amekudzi et al, 2015 ; Chauhan et al, 2020 ; Hossain et al, 2019 ; Owusu et al, 2021 ). A plethora of studies associates hunger with changing farming activities imposed by the cumulative effects of climate change on all dimensions of food security—food access, availability, stability, and utilisation—across regions (Easterling et al, 2000 ; FAO, 2010 ; FAO et al ., 2019 ; Hossain et al, 2019 ; McCarthy et al, 2001 ). For instance, extreme climate change and variability will decrease crop output in some African countries by up to 50% by 2030, while crop income may decline by 90% by 2100 (Boko et al, 2007 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate change: a friend or foe to food security in Africa?

Pickson

Boateng

2021

Environ Dev Sustain

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Extreme climate change is posing an increasing threat to human welfare across countries. Specifically, the devastating floods coupled with the looming spectre of drought are argued to explain cross-country differences in food security. While the debate continues and uncertainties about the precise influence of climate change on food security linger, the question of whether climate change plays a pivotal role in increased hunger and food insecurity across countries remains unanswered. This study presented new evidence of the role of climate change in Africa's food security. We utilised the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope estimator to analyse climate change trends. We also employed the pooled mean group technique and the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test to investigate the effect of climate change on food security in 15 African countries between 1970 and 2016. Our empirical findings revealed three things. First, rainfall plays a decisive role in Africa's food security when examined broadly. However, the significance of the effect of rainfall varied substantially across the 15 countries. Second, we find no robust impact of temperature on food security in the long run. However, the short-run results showed that extreme temperatures impede food security, with varying magnitudes across countries. Third, except for rainfall, a bidirectional causality exists between food security and temperature in Africa. Given the risks associated with rain-fed agriculture, we argue that African countries need to limit their dependence on rain-fed agriculture to boost food production.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change: a friend or foe to food security in Africa?

Pickson

Boateng

2021

Environ Dev Sustain

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“…The region has been facing various challenges due to the changing climate such as rising temperatures, heat waves, droughts, and floods [5,6]. Crop farming is facing a severe threat from climate change in South Asian countries, including Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, and Nepal [6,7]. An increase of 1.4 • C to 1.8 • C and 2.1 • C to 2.6 • C in the average maximum temperature on an annual basis has been projected by 2030 and 2050, respectively, which would ultimately lead to 12% and 21% increases in the areas severely affected by heat stress in 2030 and 2050, respectively, in South Asia [8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fatalism, Climate Resiliency Training and Farmers’ Adaptation Responses: Implications for Sustainable Rainfed-Wheat Production in Pakistan

et al. 2020

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Climate change is a severe threat to the agricultural sector in general and to rainfed farming in particular. The aim of this study was to investigate the factors that can potentially affect the adaptation process against climate change. This study focused on wheat farmers and farming systems in the rainfed agroecological zone of Pakistan. Farmers’ data related to climate change fatalism, the availability of climate-specific extension services, socioeconomic and institutional variables, and farm characteristics were collected. A logit model to assess farmers’ decisions to adopt an adaptation measure and a multinomial logit model to assess their choice of various adaptation measures were used. The results showed that fatalistic farmers were unlikely to implement climate change adaptation measures. The variables related to the climate-specific extension services, including farmers’ participation in training on climate-resilient crop farming and the availability of mobile communication-based advisory services, had highly significant and positive impacts on farmers’ decisions and their choice of adaptation measures. Input market access and tractor ownership also had positive and significant impacts on farmers’ decisions to adapt and their choice of adaptation measures. This study highlights the need to improve rainfed-wheat farmers’ education levels to change their fatalistic attitudes towards climate change. Furthermore, government action is needed to provide climate-specific extension services to ensure sustainable production levels that will ultimately lead to food and livelihood security under a changing climate.

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“…Climate change, global warming, unplanned urbanization, and the loss of greenery and water bodies in the study region may all contribute to this seasonal LST increase [ 58 , 59 , 60 ]. Due to the significant increase in LST, water and crop yield availability will be reduced, which will increase the vulnerability of the study region to drought and extreme weather events [ 61 ]. Winters in the study region are becoming increasingly warm as a result of widespread climate change and global warming effects [ 20 , 59 , 60 ].…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%