Economic and environmental implications of Turkish accession to the European Union: A CGE analysis

Aydin, Levent; Acar, Mustafa

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.07.022

Cited by 9 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Table 6 gives the permit price levels under 15% and 20% quotas as $29.74 and $43.25, respectively. In comparison to (Aydin and Acar, 2010), our MAC curves are found considerably steeper. In their analysis when Turkey applies 45% cutback with respect to 2005, the permit price has been found as $45.92, which, in contrast, is close to the price level under 20% cap with our modeling framework.…”

Section: Policy Analysis Under the Current Eu 20-20-20 Targetscontrasting

confidence: 60%

“…Telli et al (2008) and Vural (2009) concentrated on the taxation of energy use as instruments of carbon dioxide abatement while Kumbaroglu (2003) focused on the taxation of sulfur emissions. In a more recent study by Aydin and Acar (2010), the economic impacts of unilateral carbon taxation in Turkey are investigated under the case of Turkey's accession to the European Union.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Economic impact assessment of Turkey's post-Kyoto vision on emission trading

Olçum

Yeldan

2013

Energy Policy

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For the post-Kyoto period, Turkey strongly emphasizes the establishment of national emission trading system by 2015 and its integration with the EU ETS along its accession process to the EU. In this paper, we study the mechanisms of adjustment and economic welfare consequences of various ETS regimes that Turkey considers to apply by 2020, i.e. regional ETS and international trading within the EU ETS. We conduct our analysis under the current EU 20-20-20 emission target, 20%, and also under its revised version, 30%. We find that Turkey has economic gains from linking with the EU ETS under the 20% cap, in comparison to the domestic ETSs. Despite the EU's welfare loss under linkage in comparison to the case where Turkey has domestic abatement efforts, it still prefers linking as it increases economic well being compared to the case where Turkey does not abate. Under 30% cutback, Turkey has critical output loss under linkage due to high abatement burden on the EU, while the EU is better off as it passes some of its abatement burden to Turkey. Therefore, emission quotas and their allocation across the ETS and non ETS sectors become highly critical in distributing the overall economic gains from bilateral trading. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd

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Section: Policy Analysis Under the Current Eu 20-20-20 Targetscontrasting

confidence: 60%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic impact assessment of Turkey's post-Kyoto vision on emission trading

Olçum

Yeldan

2013

Energy Policy

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“…As is known, carbon emissions are closely related to energy consumption. Therefore, CO 2 emissions are associated with all emitting activities, including current production, capital formation, and household and govern-ment consumption [17].…”

Section: Impact Of Expanding Hydro Power Generation On Carbon Emissionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Economic and Environmental Impacts of Constructing Hydro Power Plants in Turkey: A Dynamic CGE Analysis (2004-2020)

Aydin¹

2010

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Since Turkey's economy and population is rapidly growing, Turkey mostly meets its energy demand from imported fossil sources due to the very limited indigenous oil and natural gas resources. However, Turkey has abundant renewable resources especially, hydro power potential to be used for generation of electricity. But only one-third of this significant economical potential could be used. This usage seems insufficient when compared with that of European countries. In order to analyze the potential long term impacts of the hydro power expanding shock on some macroeconomic variables of interest such as GDP, real consumption, real investment, exports, imports, trade balance, and carbon emissions, we developed TurGEM-D, a dynamic multisectoral general equilibrium model of the Turkish economy. Using TurGEM-D, we analyzed the impact of hydro power shock under policy scenario doubling hydro power generation. The simulation results show that doubling hydro power have slightly positive effects on macro indicators and carbon emissions for Turkish economy.

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“…According to Tiersky (2010), European policymakers are worried that the accession of Turkey would affect the market for goods and services, labor markets, the budgetary projections in the EU, and EU foreign policy. Aydin and Acar (2010) stated that the possible enlar gement of the EU to include Turkey is not just a political issue, but also has two important economic consequ ences for both the EU and the country. First, the large disparities in real wages between the two regions offer incentives for Turkish labor to migrate to the EU.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The European Union and Turkey: A Review of Their Commonalities and Disparities Using Cluster Analysis

Yildiz

2014

Business: Theory and Practice

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Turkey has enjoyed considerable economic growth over the past decade and has a positive economic outlook and strong growth prospects. The country benefits from being located between Europe and the major energy producers in the Middle East in the socalled strategic energy corridor. The issue of Turkey's accession to the EU has long been on the political agenda in Europe. Indeed, Turkey has made considerable efforts to become a full EU member state. However, the accession negotiations for EU membership continue, while Turkey has recently refused to open new accession chapters with the EU and instead has turned its attention to other regional developments. Turkey has strengthened its swtrategic ties with a wide range of countries including those in Europe and the Middle East. It also plays an influential role in a geography that stretches across the former Soviet Union nations. In this paper, the path of Turkey's accession issues is reviewed and the direction of its economy based on the measure of GDP per capita is forecast using an autoregressive integrated moving average model. In addition, the cluster analysis technique is adopted in order to measure the possible standing of Turkey among EU members, the similarities between EU members, and the current path to becoming an EU member state.

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Economic and environmental implications of Turkish accession to the European Union: A CGE analysis

Cited by 9 publications

References 15 publications

Economic impact assessment of Turkey's post-Kyoto vision on emission trading

Economic impact assessment of Turkey's post-Kyoto vision on emission trading

The Economic and Environmental Impacts of Constructing Hydro Power Plants in Turkey: A Dynamic CGE Analysis (2004-2020)

The European Union and Turkey: A Review of Their Commonalities and Disparities Using Cluster Analysis

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