2022
DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac053
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Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole

Abstract: Third Pole natural cascade alpine lakes (NCALs) are exceptionally sensitive to climate change, yet the underlying cryosphere-hydrological processes and associated societal impacts are largely unknown. Here, with a state-of-the-art cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model, we quantified the notable high-mountain Hoh-Xil NCALs basin (including Lakes Zonag, Kusai, Hedin Noel, and Yanhu, from upstream to downstream) formed by the Lake Zonag outburst in September 2011. We demonstrate that long-term increased precipitati… Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…The cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model was recently used to quantify the different contributors to the rising water levels at Lake Yanhu. This well-performing model reproduce the volume of Lake Zonag satisfactorily, with an RMSE (root mean square error) of 0.012-0.062 km 3 , which can well used for reproduce the following simulations and predictions of lake change (Wang et al, 2022). Determining the balance point between model simplicity and catchment complexity is likely one of the most important scientific challenges yet to be resolved in permafrost hydrological modeling on the QTP, which will be investigated in our next study.…”
Section: Effect Of Lake Changes On Regional Climate Conditions and Pe...mentioning
confidence: 85%
“…The cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model was recently used to quantify the different contributors to the rising water levels at Lake Yanhu. This well-performing model reproduce the volume of Lake Zonag satisfactorily, with an RMSE (root mean square error) of 0.012-0.062 km 3 , which can well used for reproduce the following simulations and predictions of lake change (Wang et al, 2022). Determining the balance point between model simplicity and catchment complexity is likely one of the most important scientific challenges yet to be resolved in permafrost hydrological modeling on the QTP, which will be investigated in our next study.…”
Section: Effect Of Lake Changes On Regional Climate Conditions and Pe...mentioning
confidence: 85%
“…Lakes are important components of terrestrial water resources, closely related to the lithosphere, atmosphere, and biosphere, and supporting economic activities, including industrial and agricultural production, biodiversity, commercial activities, and human health 1 , 2 . The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) hosts an abundance of alpine lakes that are strongly influenced by the melting of the cryosphere (i.e., glaciers and snow) and climate change 3 , 4 . In recent decades, many QTP lakes with areas larger than 1 km 2 have shown drastic changes, such as a significant increase in number, area, lake storage, and a rapid rise in water levels 4 , 5 .…”
Section: Background and Summarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) hosts an abundance of alpine lakes that are strongly influenced by the melting of the cryosphere (i.e., glaciers and snow) and climate change 3 , 4 . In recent decades, many QTP lakes with areas larger than 1 km 2 have shown drastic changes, such as a significant increase in number, area, lake storage, and a rapid rise in water levels 4 , 5 .…”
Section: Background and Summarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Uneven distribution of abnormal precipitation will lead to a series of problems, such as debris flow, lake outburst and permafrost degradation on the TP. These can severely threaten the safety of local living environments and public facilities (Zhang et al, 2022). Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen research and understanding on climate change in the TP.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%