Distributional impact of tax and welfare policies: Budget 2023

Doolan, Michael; Doorley, Karina; Regan, Mark; Roantree, Barra

doi:10.26504/qec2022win_sa_doolan

Cited by 5 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 4 publications

(5 reference statements)

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“…The current rapid rise in fuel and other prices has had a greater proportionate impact on households in the lowest quintile of the income distribution (Barrett et al, 2022). One-off measures in Budget 2023 are estimated to significantly cushion incomes, especially for those in lower-income households, raising challenges in helping low-income families to avoid fuel poverty when these measures lapse (Doolan, Doorley, Regan and Roantree, 2022).…”

Section: Implications For Policymentioning

confidence: 99%

Housing adequacy and child outcomes in early and middle childhood

Laurence¹,

Russell²,

Smyth³

2023

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The mission of the Economic and Social Research Institute is to advance evidencebased policymaking that supports economic sustainability and social progress in Ireland. ESRI researchers apply the highest standards of academic excellence to challenges facing policymakers, focusing on 12 areas of critical importance to 21 st Century Ireland.The Institute was founded in 1960 by a group of senior civil servants led by Dr T.K. Whitaker, who identified the need for independent and in-depth research analysis to provide a robust evidence base for policymaking in Ireland.Since then, the Institute has remained committed to independent research and its work is free of any expressed ideology or political position. The Institute publishes all research reaching the appropriate academic standard, irrespective of its findings or who funds the research.The quality of its research output is guaranteed by a rigorous peer review process. ESRI researchers are experts in their fields and are committed to producing work that meets the highest academic standards and practices.The work of the Institute is disseminated widely in books, journal articles and reports. ESRI publications are available to download, free of charge, from its website. Additionally, ESRI staff communicate research findings at regular conferences and seminars.The ESRI is a company limited by guarantee, answerable to its members and governed by a Council, comprising 14 members who represent a cross-section of ESRI members from academia, civil services, state agencies, businesses and civil society. The Institute receives an annual grant-in-aid from the Department of Public Expenditure and Reform to support the scientific and public interest elements of the Institute's activities; the grant accounted for an average of 30 per cent of the Institute's income over the lifetime of the last Research Strategy. The remaining funding comes from research programmes supported by government departments and agencies, public bodies and competitive research programmes.

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Section: Implications For Policymentioning

confidence: 99%

Housing adequacy and child outcomes in early and middle childhood

Laurence¹,

Russell²,

Smyth³

2023

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“…Budget 2023 insulated households, on average, from expected inflation in 2023 through a range of permanent and one-off measures (Doolan et al, 2022). The February COL package -which contains further temporary measures -benefits low-income households relatively more than high income households.…”

Section: Box B the Distributional Impact Of The February Cost-of-livi...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2023

McQuinn¹,

O’Toole²,

Disch³

et al. 2023

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In this Note, we provide estimates of public acute hospital inpatient bed requirements in Ireland in 2023, based on earlier ESRI research published by Keegan et al. (2018), the Department of Health's Health Service Capacity Review (2018) and the National Development Plan (2018)(2019)(2020)(2021)(2022)(2023)(2024)(2025)(2026)(2027). Each of these analyses projected hospital bed capacity requirements in Ireland based on a variety of projection scenarios. The Note finds that while absolute, and per capita, public acute hospital inpatient bed capacity has increased in recent years, large bed capacity deficits remain. Focusing on scenarios that assume an 85 per cent occupancy rate, we estimate that in 2023 there may be a bed capacity deficit of approximately 1,000 inpatient beds in public acute hospitals. This bed capacity deficit is likely a key contributor to recent overcrowding issues experienced in public acute hospitals. In addition to the deficit that currently exists in the system, over 300 additional inpatient beds are required per annum to keep up with demand pressures arising from an increasing and ageing population.

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“…This is particularly the case given the approach of the Government in response to increases in the cost of living, which has placed particular emphasis on a mix of universal and targeted once-off payments. While this represents a coherent approach to the sharp rise in energy prices (providing support that is timed to coincide with the arrival of energy bills), Doolan et al (2022a) showed that the adequacy of core social welfare payments risks being eroded unless these once-off measures are repeated or the level of social welfare payments and tax credits revisited in the coming years: for example, through a benchmarking exercise like that recommended by the Commission on Taxation and Welfare (2022) or a series of real (above inflation) increases once the rate of inflation has returned to more normal levels. Despite the large fiscal surpluses projected over the coming years, maintaining the adequacy of the social welfare system so that it contributes toward inclusive growth will pose a challenge for this and future Governments given the pressures on the public finances from maintaining even the existing level of services and the reliance on windfallpotentially transitory -receipts from corporation tax (Irish Fiscal Advisory Council, 2023).…”

Section: Notementioning

confidence: 99%

https://www.esri.ie/publications/poverty-income-inequality-and-living-standards-in-ireland-third-annual-report

Roantree,

Doorley

2023

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The mission of the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) is to advance evidence based policymaking that supports economic sustainability and social progress in Ireland. ESRI researchers apply the highest standards of academic excellence to challenges facing policymakers, focusing on 10 areas of critical importance to 21st Century Ireland.The Institute was founded in 1960 by a group of senior civil servants led by Dr T.K. Whitaker, who identified the need for independent and in-depth research analysis to provide a robust evidence base for policymaking in Ireland.Since then, the Institute has remained committed to independent research and its work is free of any expressed ideology or political position. The Institute publishes all research reaching the appropriate academic standard, irrespective of its findings or who funds the research.The quality of its research output is guaranteed by a rigorous peer review process. ESRI researchers are experts in their fields and are committed to producing work that meets the highest academic standards and practices.The work of the Institute is disseminated widely in books, journal articles and reports. ESRI publications are available to download, free of charge, from its website. Additionally, ESRI staff communicate research findings at regular conferences and seminars.The ESRI is a company limited by guarantee, answerable to its members and governed by a Council, comprising up to 14 members who represent a crosssection of ESRI members from academia, civil services, state agencies, businesses and civil society. The Institute receives an annual grant-in-aid from the Department of Public Expenditure and Reform to support the scientific and public interest elements of the Institute's activities; the grant accounted for an average of 30 per cent of the Institute's income over the lifetime of the last Research Strategy. The remaining funding comes from research programmes supported by government departments and agencies, public bodies and competitive research programmes.

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Distributional impact of tax and welfare policies: Budget 2023

Cited by 5 publications

References 4 publications

Housing adequacy and child outcomes in early and middle childhood

Housing adequacy and child outcomes in early and middle childhood

Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2023

https://www.esri.ie/publications/poverty-income-inequality-and-living-standards-in-ireland-third-annual-report

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