Developing a European pest risk mapping system<sup>1</sup>

Baker, Richard

doi:10.1111/j.1365-2338.1996.tb01491.x

Cited by 6 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 12 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Use of this tool has increased in popularity as global climate and species occurrence databases improve and expand (135). An empirical "bioclimate envelope" of the pathogen's environmental requirements is derived based on its current distribution, and long-term climate databases are then used to identify which geographical locations meet these requirements (8). Popular software tools include Climex (172,173,174), FloraMap (82) , e.g., the absence of efficient vectors or susceptible hosts.…”

Section: Epidemiological Tools and Models To Support Forensic Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Plant Pathogen Forensics: Capabilities, Needs, and Recommendations

Fletcher

Bender

Budowle

et al. 2006

Microbiol Mol Biol Rev

162

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

SUMMARY A biological attack on U.S. crops, rangelands, or forests could reduce yield and quality, erode consumer confidence, affect economic health and the environment, and possibly impact human nutrition and international relations. Preparedness for a crop bioterror event requires a strong national security plan that includes steps for microbial forensics and criminal attribution. However, U.S. crop producers, consultants, and agricultural scientists have traditionally focused primarily on strategies for prevention and management of diseases introduced naturally or unintentionally rather than on responding appropriately to an intentional pathogen introduction. We assess currently available information, technologies, and resources that were developed originally to ensure plant health but also could be utilized for postintroduction plant pathogen forensics. Recommendations for prioritization of efforts and resource expenditures needed to enhance our plant pathogen forensics capabilities are presented.

show abstract

Section: Epidemiological Tools and Models To Support Forensic Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Plant Pathogen Forensics: Capabilities, Needs, and Recommendations

Fletcher

Bender

Budowle

et al. 2006

Microbiol Mol Biol Rev

162

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Baker, 1996), this generation index is expected to approximate that of the aggregate risk index. Baker, 1996), this generation index is expected to approximate that of the aggregate risk index.…”

Section: Generation Indexmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Baufeld et al , 1996). Baker, 1996;Yonow & Sutherst, 1998), provide more explicit assistance to the decision maker. 2-Fig.…”

Section: The Development Of Multiple Indices In Support Of Pest Risk mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, Yonow & Sutherst (1998), using weekly weather summaries interpolated to a 50-km grid for Australia, demonstrated using CLIMEX a broad range of insect stress factors for pest risk assess-ment. Tiilikkala et al , 1995;Baker, 1996;Baufeld et al , 1996 ), other evidence is needed to assess the wider range of issues listed in Fig. Tiilikkala et al , 1995;Baker, 1996;Baufeld et al , 1996 ), other evidence is needed to assess the wider range of issues listed in Fig.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While prior work assessing the likelihood of a pest establishing within a nation has made reference to gridded climate variables (Baufeld et al , 1996;Braasch et al , 1996), only rarely have gridded climate and biological information been explicitly integrated for use in a pest risk assessment (e.g. Baker, 1996;Yonow & Sutherst, 1998).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Risk assessment for nonindigenous pests: 2. Accounting for interyear climate variability

Jarvis

Baker

2001

Diversity and Distributions

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The paper firstly discusses the importance of accounting for interyear variability when assessing the likelihood of establishment of an alien pest. The potential establishment of Colorado beetle ( Leptinotarsa decemlineata ) is used as an illustration within the geographical context of England and Wales. An aggregate risk index is introduced as a probabilistic representation of the likelihood that a pest might complete a single generation over a 30-year period . Data for individual years were used to compute, objectively, the interyear distribution of risk across the landscape. The standard deviation in area at risk (26 800 km 2 ) was high relative to the average proportion of the landscape potentially at risk (95 700 km 2 ). In 40% of years, the area at risk was estimated to be higher than 'average'.Secondly, the paper demonstrates multiple indices of risk that reflect different aspects of pest risk assessment. Viewing risk from a variety of perspectives provides a means of gauging the consistency and therefore reliability of the results. This contrasts with current practice, where a single mapped output is commonly presented to decision makers. Modelling using a daily time step allowed the use of indices to investigate the long-term probabilities of biotic and abiotic events of short duration. These indices include estimates of pest activity and flight potential.

show abstract