2008
DOI: 10.1007/s10101-008-0055-6
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Democracy, autocracy and the likelihood of international conflict

Abstract: This is a game-theoretic analysis of the link between regime type and international conflict. The democratic electorate can credibly punish the leader for bad conflict outcomes, whereas the autocratic selectorate cannot. For the fear of being thrown out of office, democratic leaders are (i) more selective about the wars they initiate and (ii) on average win more of the wars they start. Foreign policy behaviour is found to display strategic complementarities. The likelihood of interstate war, therefore, is lowe… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…These days, many scholars believe that despite the much-debated notion that liberal democracies have a more peaceful disposition overall, democratic dyads tend to resolve conflicts peacefully, and thus the possibility of conflict in a group of two or more democratic states is minimized [17]. This view is backed by the notion that democratic leaders tend to be more selective about waging war and demonstrate more sensitivity to the cost of warfare, which creates a relationship between regime type and behavior of state [18][19][20]. There are also opposing ideas to the modern dyadic version of democratic peace.…”
Section: Review Of the Existing Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…These days, many scholars believe that despite the much-debated notion that liberal democracies have a more peaceful disposition overall, democratic dyads tend to resolve conflicts peacefully, and thus the possibility of conflict in a group of two or more democratic states is minimized [17]. This view is backed by the notion that democratic leaders tend to be more selective about waging war and demonstrate more sensitivity to the cost of warfare, which creates a relationship between regime type and behavior of state [18][19][20]. There are also opposing ideas to the modern dyadic version of democratic peace.…”
Section: Review Of the Existing Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…A complementary explanation relies on asymmetric information. [Recent analyses taking this approach while focusing on the democratic peace hypothesis include Levy and Razin (2004) and Tangerås (2009)]. Fearon (2008), in his analysis of "colonial" democracies (defined as those democracies not committed to extending the rights and privileges enjoyed by their citizens to the inhabitants of conquered territories) combines both approaches.…”
Section: Possible Outcomes In the Second Periodmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other theories of the Kantian peace based on incomplete information are provided by Levy and Razin[22] and Tangeras[29].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%