2012
DOI: 10.1155/2012/321574
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Daily Commute Time Prediction Based on Genetic Algorithm

Abstract: This paper presents a joint discrete-continuous model for activity-travel time allocation by employing the ordered probit model for departure time choice and the hazard model for travel time prediction. Genetic algorithm GA is employed for optimizing the parameters in the hazard model. The joint model is estimated using data collected in Beijing, 2005. With the developed model, departure and travel times for the daily commute trips are predicted and the influence of sociodemographic variables on activity-trave… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…The MAPE value of the fatality forecasting model is 0.0226, and the Hit ratio is 100%, which recommend that this model has a high accuracy [17,18].…”
Section: Parameter Learningmentioning
confidence: 87%
“…The MAPE value of the fatality forecasting model is 0.0226, and the Hit ratio is 100%, which recommend that this model has a high accuracy [17,18].…”
Section: Parameter Learningmentioning
confidence: 87%
“…Hence, some other optimization methods should be utilized to assist the GA [25]. The penalty function has the advantages of considering the points out of the feasible regions when solving nonlinear constraints problems [26].…”
Section: Optimization Of the Accuracy Of Multistep Numerical Methods mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The search continues until HitRn-HitRn-1 < 0.001% or the number of generation reaches the maximum number of generations Tmax, which is set to be 5000 [30].…”
Section: Terminationmentioning
confidence: 99%