Cyclone track prediction by a quasi-Lagrangian limited area model

Prasad, K.; Rao, Y. V. Rama

doi:10.1007/s00703-002-0564-8

Cited by 28 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…Some of the numerical models and their skills are discussed here. For instance, QLM regional model was adopted by Prasad [44] for cyclone track prediction over NIO region and found the performance to be reasonable. The recurvature of the cyclones were also well predicted.…”

Section: Model Predictabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Progress in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Present Status in the North Indian Ocean Region

Singh¹,

Panda²,

Osuri³

et al. 2016

Recent Developments in Tropical Cyclone Dynamics, Prediction, and Detection

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Tropical cyclone (TC) is an important research area since it has a significant impact on human life, properties and environment. The researchers all over the world have been studying fundamental and advanced processes to better understand and thereby predict the genesis and evolution of TCs. This review chapter provides a brief overview on TC climatology, their basic characteristics, movement and intensification, research on structure analysis and prediction of these fascinating storms, with primary emphasis to North Indian Ocean (NIO). The role of ocean and atmosphere in determining the genesis and intensification of TCs is discussed. This chapter reviews the past and current research activities including inter-annual and intra-seasonal changes in TCs, current status of TC research using numerical weather prediction, gaps identified and relevant measures taken by the meteorological and government agencies in this direction, along with future directions in order to improve the understanding and predictability over the NIO region.

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Section: Model Predictabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Progress in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Present Status in the North Indian Ocean Region

Singh¹,

Panda²,

Osuri³

et al. 2016

Recent Developments in Tropical Cyclone Dynamics, Prediction, and Detection

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“…The studies of Ley and Elsberry [1976], Kurihara and Bender [1980], and Wang [2001] demonstrated the advantages in cyclone track prediction with movable two‐way nested models. Tropical cyclone predictions are being operationally provided by the relevant national meteorological agencies [ Iwasaki et al , 1987; Mathur , 1991; Puri et al , 1992; Kurihara et al , 1995; D. R. Chen et al, A new operational typhoon track prediction system at the central weather bureau in Taiwan, paper presented at 21st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, American Meteorological Society, Miami, Florida, 1995; Y. Kurihara et al, Hurricane forecasting with GFDL hurricane prediction system, paper presented at 21st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology , American Meteorolical Society, Miami, Florida, 1993] and the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues operational forecasts of the tropical cyclones over north Indian Ocean using limited area models [ Prasad and Rama Rao , 2003].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of horizontal resolution and the advantages of the nested domains approach in the prediction of tropical cyclone intensification and movement

2009

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[1] The prediction of the intensification and movement of the Orissa Super Cyclone (OSC-1999) was studied using the National Center for Atmospheric Research MM5 mesoscale atmospheric model. A case study of the OSC has been chosen as it is noted to be the most intense cyclone over the Bay of Bengal of this century. Experiments were made with a single domain (1D), with two-way interactive nested two domains (2D), and with three domains (3D). The model was integrated for 5 days, and the model-predicted intensity and track positions were compared with observations. Results indicate that the enhancement of resolution produces higher intensity and does not influence the track of the storm. The nested 2D and 3D experiments produce cyclone track closely agreeing with the observations, while the 1D experiments show the deviation of the track toward north and northeast after 48 h, thus with increasing errors. Differences in the simulations with single and nested domains indicate that simulated atmospheric circulation on the eastern parts of the domain contribute to the deviation of the track in the 1D experiment and the successful simulation with 2D and 3D experiments is due to the two-way interactive approach of the nested domains.

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Tropical cyclone predictions over the Bay of Bengal using the high‐resolution Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) model

Srinivas¹,

Rao²,

Yesubabu³

et al. 2012

Quart J Royal Meteoro Soc

123

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Cyclone track prediction by a quasi-Lagrangian limited area model

Cited by 28 publications

References 2 publications

Progress in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Present Status in the North Indian Ocean Region

Progress in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Present Status in the North Indian Ocean Region

Impact of horizontal resolution and the advantages of the nested domains approach in the prediction of tropical cyclone intensification and movement

Tropical cyclone predictions over the Bay of Bengal using the high‐resolution Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) model

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