Cyclical vs structural effects on health care expenditure trends in OECD countries

Abstract

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Policies for Switzerland’s ageing society

“…Note: Scenarios for health care spending use a combination of the old-age population share, income growth and a time trend to capture technological progress. In Scenario 1, real spending per capita growth is contained to 0.8% per year for 10 years (compared to 1.5% average structural growth achieved in some high-spending countries over 2010-13 (Lorenzoni et al, 2018a). In Scenario 2, the elasticity of spending to income growth is lower.…”

Switzerland and European Union: Specifics of Trade and Investment Relations

“…Long-term care is based on the estimated cost in 2011 and assumes some means testing (Federal Council, 2016). Health care cost containment assumes that containment measures slow growth in real costs per capita to 0.8% (below the 1.5% structural rate achieved in high-spending countries during 2010-13 in Lorenzoni et al (2018)). Estimates do not include other substantial gains, notably increased tax revenue from higher employment.…”