2015
DOI: 10.1002/2015jc011161
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Crossing sea state and rogue wave probability during the Prestige accident

Abstract: We discuss the crossing sea state and the probability of rogue waves during the accident of the tanker Prestige on 13 November 2002. We present newly computed hindcast spectra for every hour during that day at nearby locations, showing the development of a bimodal sea state with two wave systems crossing at nearly right angle. We employ four different nonlinear models capable of computing the phase‐resolved sea surface from the hindcast spectra, allowing us to estimate statistics for the occurrence of rogue wa… Show more

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Cited by 47 publications
(39 citation statements)
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“…Our results are in agreement with the recent numerical simulations by Trulsen et al 42. of the crossing sea state encountered during the accident of the tanker Prestige on 13 November 2002.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 93%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Our results are in agreement with the recent numerical simulations by Trulsen et al 42. of the crossing sea state encountered during the accident of the tanker Prestige on 13 November 2002.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 93%
“…Our studies show that it is approximated by Λ appr  = 8 λ 40 /3 (see Methods section). For second-order seas, hereafter referred to as Tayfun sea states42, Λ  = 0 only and P TF in Eq. (3) yields the Tayfun (T) distribution32…”
Section: Return Period Of a Wave Whose Crest Height Exceeds A Given Tmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, rogue waves are not necessarily steep and tend to occur in the middle of the wave group. Since there is also a positive correlation of the spectral bandwidth and the step size, and no significant correlation with the group asymmetry, we expect that nonlinear modulational focusing does not play a noticeable role in the formation of isolated large waves [see also Trulsen et al , ; Fedele et al , ]. Linear superposition of higher order Stokes waves seems to be a sufficient mechanism that can explain the existence of unexpected, wall‐like rogue waves, as well as the observed occurrence rates of rogue waves [ Gemmrich and Garrett , , ].…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…By varying the initial conditions and parameters of the model, it is possible to draw conclusions as to which particular processes may be responsible for the emergence of the observed rogue waves. Recent work of this type includes analysis of the maritime accidents of the cruise ship Louis Majesty [134], the tanker Prestige [135], the merchant vessel El Faro [132], as well as modelling of the Draupner and Andrea waves [136,137], and rogue waves generated during Typhoon Lupit in 2009 [138]. The particular case of the Andrea wave and its modelled profile using the hindcasting approach is shown in Fig.…”
Section: B Rogue Waves In the Natural Environmentmentioning
confidence: 99%