Critical volcanology? Thinking holistically about risk and uncertainty

Donovan, Amy

doi:10.1007/s00445-019-1279-8

Cited by 30 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 174 publications

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“…A further effort is also required by Neapolitan scientists to connect the territorial governance structures and local (at risk) communities with the scientific network. In this framework, a further attention of scientists must be addressed to avoid to politicize the volcanology in advising authorities (Donovan, 2019).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For instance, political timescales generally limit the amount of capital that is invested in the volcanic risk reduction. Basically; as reported by Donovan (2019), "if a politician is only in power for 4 years" (and this time is the best case in Italy!) "the probability of an eruption at a particular volcano within that timeframe is usually very low, and so, the personal-https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2020-410 Preprint.…”

Section: The Debate About the Volcanic Risk In Neapolitan Areamentioning

confidence: 93%

“…Furthermore, the policies to improve the vulnerability of edifices against disasters (and reduce the risk) have been rarely adopted in Italy, as demonstrated for instance by heavy damages suffered by many cities after moderate earthquakes occurred in recent times (Valensise et al, 2017). The main issues, in this case, are related to the actual perception of risk in general (as well as of volcanic risk in particular), but mainly to the morals and personal profit of politicians in doing specific actions to reduce the risk and to other social and political problems of the Neapolitan area (Luongo, 1997;Carlino et al, 2008;Donovan and Oppenheimer, 2015;Donovan, 2019). For instance, political timescales generally limit the amount of capital that is invested in the volcanic risk reduction.…”

Section: The Debate About the Volcanic Risk In Neapolitan Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

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Review article: Brief history of volcanic risk in Neapolitan area (Campania, Southern Italy): a critical review

Carlino

2021

Preprint

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Abstract. The presence of three active volcanoes (Vesuvius, Campi Flegrei and Ischia Island) along the coast of Naples did not constrained the huge expansion of the urbanized zones around them. On the contrary, since Greek-Roman era, volcanoes have been an attractor for people who colonized Campania region. Stable settlements around Vesuvius, Campi Flegrei caldera and the Island of Ischia were progressively enlarged, reaching the maximum growth-rate between 1950 and 1980. Between 1982 and 1984, Neapolitan people faced the last and most dramatic volcanic crises, occurred at Campi Flegrei (Pozzuoli), without an eruption. Since that time, volcanologists have focused the attention on the problem of risk associated to eruptions in Neapolitan area, but a systematic strategy to reduce the very high volcanic risk of this area still lacks. A brief history of volcanic risk in Neapolitan district is here reported, trying to obtain new food for thought for the scientific community which works to the mitigation of volcanic risk of this area.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Debate About the Volcanic Risk In Neapolitan Areamentioning

confidence: 93%

Section: The Debate About the Volcanic Risk In Neapolitan Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

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Review article: Brief history of volcanic risk in Neapolitan area (Campania, Southern Italy): a critical review

Carlino

2021

Preprint

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“…This observation has motivated the development of a field of research entitled "social volcanology", with counts some important contributions about information dissemination (e.g. Fearnley, 2013;Fearnley & Beaven, 2018;Donovan, Oppenheimer and Bravo, 2012;Donovan, 2019). The present paper follows this line of thought while also borrowing to the literature dedicated to risk communication in the wider field of the disaster studies (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 84%

Risk communication successes and limits during sismo-volcanic crisis: the example of Mayotte, France

Dévès

Lacassin

Pécout³

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Abstract. On 10 May 2018, an active seismic crisis began on French island of Mayotte, which a year later will be shown to be related to offshore volcanic activity. It affects a vulnerable territory exposed to risks of many kinds (poverty, violence, lack of basic resources). In the absence of known events in human memory, the population is naive with regard to seismic and volcanic hazards. The concern is therefore very strong. In spite of a large number of publications, the communication set up by the main actors of the risk chain does not answer the population's concern. To understand why, we analyse a large corpus of the textual communications (press releases, web pages, scientific bulletins, reports, etc.) issued by the authorities and scientists from May 2018 to April 2021. We draw lessons on the communication strategy put in place in the first three years of the crisis; and we issue recommendations for improvement in the future, in Mayotte, but also elsewhere in contexts where comparable geo-crises may happen. We notably stress the importance of ensuring that communication is not overly technical, that it aims to inform rather than reassure, that it focuses on risk and not only on hazard and that it provides clues to possible risk scenarios.

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“…The interaction between politics and the timeframe of volcanic risk management and of eruptions themselves can be complex: often there is little planning prior to a crisis, and longer-term planning tends to be reactive, not least because the rarity of eruptions means that political actors in office for 4 years rarely consider volcanic risk as a priority (Donovan 2019;Tilling 2008). Temporally, we consider both crises and long-term management of volcanic risk in this paper (Coppola 2006).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Volcanoes on borders: a scientific and (geo)political challenge

Donovan

Oppenheimer

2019

Bull Volcanol

Self Cite

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While the scientific community readily collaborates across international borders, the boundaries of administrative unitsparticularly the nation-state-can be critical in defining the availability of scientific resources, the management of crises and the use of land. Managing border eruptions can be particularly challenging when international relations between the relevant nation-states are strained or complex or when political agendas become involved. Given that over 700 volcanoes lie within 100 km of an international border, and over 1300 are within 250 km, the potential for cross-border eruption impacts is significant. This paper aims to provide an overview of the topic. It presents results from a global study of volcanoes on or near borders and uses five case studies to highlight key issues that arise in the management of risk at such volcanoes. While volcano monitoring provides critical support for hazard assessment and decision-making, its availability depends on the policies of particular governments and institutions. Furthermore, the complexity and diversity of volcanic hazards, activity and impacts can exacerbate existing cross-border inequalities in vulnerabilities, in scientific resources, in disaster management and mitigation capacity and indeed public awareness. We suggest that pre-crisis planning and communication, resource sharing and international agreements can help to mitigate the challenges of cross-border eruptions.

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Critical volcanology? Thinking holistically about risk and uncertainty

Cited by 30 publications

References 174 publications

Review article: Brief history of volcanic risk in Neapolitan area (Campania, Southern Italy): a critical review

Review article: Brief history of volcanic risk in Neapolitan area (Campania, Southern Italy): a critical review

Risk communication successes and limits during sismo-volcanic crisis: the example of Mayotte, France

Volcanoes on borders: a scientific and (geo)political challenge

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