Crisis of Trust: Socio-Economic Determinants of Europeans' Confidence in Government

Foster, Chase; Frieden, Jeffry

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2953951

Cited by 47 publications

(66 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…I also explore potential mechanisms driving this effect. The literature has shown that cost/benefit considerations are important in forming an attitude about the European Union (Frieden, 2016;Foster and Frieden, 2017). I therefore expect people who fear to loose from further integration such as unemployed or low-skilled workers to be more sensitive toward employment changes than others.…”

Section: Empirical Strategymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It turns out that negative employment changes have a highly significant and much larger effect on attitudes than the baseline (see Appendix Table A17) In order to understand who is particularly affected by these negative changes I analyze individuallevel data in a next step. Several studies have documented that people who benefited from European integration (educated and high-skilled citizens) have higher support for EU membership and have higher trust in European institutions (Foster and Frieden, 2017;Frieden, 2016;Algan et al, 2017;Becker et al, 2017). 20 I therefore analyze these characteristics in greater detail.…”

Section: Potential Mechanismsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Employment shocks and anti-EU sentiment

Lechler¹

2019

European Journal of Political Economy

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Euroscepticism and the rise of populist parties have often been linked to economic insecurity. This paper identifies regional employment changes as causal factors for forming attitudes towards the European Union and voting for eurosceptic parties in European Parliament elections. To do so, I combine industry-specific employment data for roughly 260 European NUTS II regions with individual-level Eurobarometer survey data for the past 20 years and regional voting results. I apply panel data and instrumental variable methods; for the latter I construct a Bartik-style instrument, which predicts employment changes on the basis of regional industry specialization and Europe-wide sector specific employment growth rates. The effect of employment changes on attitudes towards the EU is particularly strong for unemployed and low-skilled workers in regions with a high share of migrants from other European member states, which supports the narrative that 'losers of globalization' tend to be more skeptical towards economic and political integration.JEL classification: E24, F66, F68, J21, O52, P16 Sunde, Mark Westcott and students and faculty at LMU Munich and University of California, Berkely for helpful comments and suggestions.

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Section: Empirical Strategymentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Potential Mechanismsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Employment shocks and anti-EU sentiment

Lechler¹

2019

European Journal of Political Economy

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“…It is either U.S. centered, comparative in nature, and/or characterized by certain shortcomings. Although unemployment regularly appears as a control variable in multivariate models (Armingeon and Ceka 2014;Armingeon and Guthmann 2014;Foster and Frieden 2017;Mishler and Rose 2001), few studies focus on it as a principal cause, and if so, they operate on the group level, comparing either countries or cohorts (Arias et al 2013;Roth, Nowak-Lehmann, and Otter 2011). Here, I focus on the impact of direct, individual-level experiences of unemployment.…”

Section: Original Articlementioning

confidence: 99%

Unemployment, Trust in Government, and Satisfaction with Democracy: An Empirical Investigation

Bauer

2018

Socius

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Evidence suggests that unemployment negatively affects various aspects of individuals' lives. The author investigates whether unemployment changes individuals' political evaluations in the form of trust in government and satisfaction with democracy. While most research in this area operates on the macro level, the author provides individual-level evidence. In doing so, the author investigates the assumed causal link with panel data from Switzerland and the Netherlands. In addition, the author studies the impact on life satisfaction, a "control outcome," known to be affected by unemployment. Although there is strong evidence that changes in employment status do affect life satisfaction, effects on trust in government and satisfaction with democracy seem mostly absent or negligible in size.

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“…More precarious forms of employment and stagnating incomes have fueled widespread political discontent, which is most intense among people in routine occupations and in regions where manufacturing jobs have been hit hard by technological change or import competition (Algan et al 2017; Colantone and Stanig 2018; Foster and Frieden 2017). For many years, that discontent simmered beneath the surface of a seemingly placid politics, perhaps because some people accepted the ideologies of an era that attributed economic hardship to the limitations of the individuals suffering from it, while many of the most aggrieved simply stopped voting (Mair 2013).…”

Section: An Era Of Knowledge-based Growth – and Political Uncertaintymentioning

confidence: 99%

The Electoral Politics of Growth Regimes

Hall¹

2019

Perspect. polit.

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This article explores the role played by electoral politics in the evolution of postwar growth regimes, understood as the economic and social policies used by governments of the developed democracies to pursue economic growth. It charts changes in growth regimes beginning with an era of modernization stretching from 1950 to 1975, through an era of liberalization running from 1980 to 2000, to a subsequent era of knowledge-based growth. Its overarching claim is that the inclination and capacities of democratic governments to pursue specific growth regimes depend not only on economic circumstances but also on evolving electoral conditions, marked especially by changes in the cleavages that condition partisan electoral strategies. This electoral dynamic affects the balance of influence over policy between actors in the electoral and producer-group arenas and carries implications for the social compromises that democracies can construct. The article concludes by exploring the implications of contemporary electoral politics for the development of growth regimes appropriate to a knowledge economy.

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Crisis of Trust: Socio-Economic Determinants of Europeans' Confidence in Government

Cited by 47 publications

References 22 publications

Employment shocks and anti-EU sentiment

Employment shocks and anti-EU sentiment

Unemployment, Trust in Government, and Satisfaction with Democracy: An Empirical Investigation

The Electoral Politics of Growth Regimes

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