Crimea and Russia's Strategic Overhaul

Bruusgaard, Kristin Ven

doi:10.55540/0031-1723.2730

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…The non-identification, misinterpretation or possible ignoring of some of the trends existing before 2014 may have caused the lack warning signals regarding the appearance of the so-called "green men" in the Crimean Peninsula at the beginning of 2014. Thus obtained the Russian Federation the strategic surprise not only regarding the Ukrainian authorities, but also in the case of the international community (Bruusgaard, 2014). In the absence of strategic warning, the tactical level structures of the Ukrainian armed forces were deprived of the ability to formulate an adequate response to the situation at that moment, any warnings issued at that level losing their usefulness.…”

Section: Warning Through the Lens Of The Conflict In Ukrainementioning

confidence: 99%

The Proactive Nature of Warning in Anticipating Crisis Situations

CARPEN¹

2022

RMT

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"Adequate use of warning can contribute decisively to avoiding or reducing major consequences in case of crisis situations. This paper intends to emphasise the contribution that strategic warning can have in the proactive development of the decision-making process. The paper analyses the way in which the issue of warning was approached by a number of experts in the field. At the same time, it is noted that paying adequate attention to medium and long-term analysis methods could contribute to an effective transition towards a proactive approach to warning, in order to avoid strategic surprise, adapt strategies and maintain competitiveness in the operational environment."

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Section: Warning Through the Lens Of The Conflict In Ukrainementioning

confidence: 99%

The Proactive Nature of Warning in Anticipating Crisis Situations

CARPEN¹

2022

RMT

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“…Neidentificarea, interpretarea eronată sau posibila ignorare a unor tendințe existente anterior anului 2014 au determinat absența unor semnale de avertizare referitoare la apariția așa-zișilor "omuleți verzi" în Peninsula Crimeea la începutul anului 2014. În acest mod, Federația Rusă a realizat surprinderea strategică nu doar în ceea ce privește autoritățile ucrainene, ci și în cazul comunității internaționale (Bruusgaard, 2014). În absența avertizării strategice, structurile de nivel tactic ale forțelor armate ucrainene au fost private de capacitatea de a formula un răspuns adecvat situației din acel moment, eventualele avertizări emise la acel nivel pierzând din utilitate.…”

Section: Avertizarea Din Perspectiva Conflictului Din Ucrainaunclassified

“…Figura nr.1: Un posibil model privind integrarea avertizării în spectrul analitic,propus de autorul prezentului articol5 …”

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Caracterul proactiv al avertizării în anticiparea situaţiilor de criză

CARPEN¹

2022

GMR

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Hybrid Warfare as a Metod of Implementing the National Strategy – The Case of Crimea

TOMŠIČ¹

2019

CMC

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Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, carried out with an amazing speed and coordination of various soft and hard instruments of national power, while simultaneously using the power of protests by the local pro-Russian population, is undoubtedly one of the better examples of hybrid warfare. The brutality and simultaneous surgical precision of the operation have made it feel as if each of the instruments of national power had played its precisely defined role, which had its basis in the national security and defence documents, such as the national security strategy and military doctrine. This is a proof of the adaptation of the Russia’s military and political strategic framework to the new global challenges of the modern world. The formerly rigid Russia using the primarily brutal military power typical of the Soviet regime, has in this case proved to be a dynamic and highly flexible force, capable of using various instruments of national power, coupled with an appropriate support of a considerably altered, but extremely effective military power instrument. In doing so, it actually shocked the Western professional and political public and opened a wide debate in professional circles, which had previously not attributed the ability of such activities to Russia. Hybrid warfare has become a constant feature of discussions in the military and political circles of the West, focusing primarily on finding solutions to effectively counter the new threat presented in Crimea by the Russian side. Key words Hybrid warfare, national strategy, military doctrine, Crimea.

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Crimea and Russia's Strategic Overhaul

Cited by 5 publications

References 0 publications

The Proactive Nature of Warning in Anticipating Crisis Situations

The Proactive Nature of Warning in Anticipating Crisis Situations

Caracterul proactiv al avertizării în anticiparea situaţiilor de criză

Hybrid Warfare as a Metod of Implementing the National Strategy – The Case of Crimea

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