Contribution of the transport sector to climate change mitigation: Insights from a global passenger transport model coupled with a computable general equilibrium model

Zhang, Runsen; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Dai, Hancheng; Hanaoka, Tatsuya

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.10.103

Cited by 74 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 51 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…This loop continues until the energy consumptions computed in AIM/CGE (ENECGE) and AIM/Transport (ENETRS) are equal. The iterative procedure helps refine the transport representation in AIM/CGE, based on detailed AIM/Transport information [47]. Finally, global GHGs (CO 2 , CH 4 , N 2 O, and F gases) and other air pollutant emissions (e.g.…”

Section: Model Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

The contribution of transport policies to the mitigation potential and cost of 2 °C and 1.5 °C goals

Zhang

Fujimori

Hanaoka

2018

Environ. Res. Lett.

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The transport sector contributes around a quarter of global CO 2 emissions; thus, low-carbon transport policies are required to achieve the 2 • C and 1.5 • C targets. In this paper, representative transport policy scenarios are structured with the aim of achieving a better understanding of the interaction between the transport sector and the macroeconomy. To accomplish this, the Asia-Pacific Integrated Model/Transport (AIM/Transport) model, coupled with a computable general equilibrium model (AIM/CGE), is used to simulate the potential for different transport policy interventions to reduce emissions and cost over the period 2005-2100. The results show that deep decarbonization in the transport sector can be achieved by implementing transport policies such as energy efficiency improvements, vehicle technology innovations particularly the deployment of electric vehicles, public transport developments, and increasing the car occupancy rate. Technological transformations such as vehicle technological innovations and energy efficiency improvements provide the most significant reduction potential. The key finding is that low-carbon transport policies can reduce the carbon price, gross domestic product loss rate, and welfare loss rate generated by climate mitigation policies to limit global warming to 2 • C and 1.5 • C. Interestingly, the contribution of transport policies is more effective for stringent climate change targets in the 1.5 • C scenario, which implies that the stronger the mitigation intensity, the more transport specific policy is required. The transport sector requires attention to achieve the goal of stringent climate change mitigation.

show abstract

Section: Model Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

The contribution of transport policies to the mitigation potential and cost of 2 °C and 1.5 °C goals

Zhang

Fujimori

Hanaoka

2018

Environ. Res. Lett.

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In addition, cycling acts as a feeder mode for other public transport modes such as buses and trains. A considerable number of commuters initiate and finish their journeys with bicycle in cities such as Guangzhou and Copenhagen [30]. Based on the findings of this study, the main concerns about cycling in the City of Tshwane were safety and security.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 83%

Guidelines for Sustainable Urban Transport in Selected Areas of the City of Tshwane, South Africa

Duri

Zyl

2018

WIT Transactions on the Built Environment

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The purpose of this study was to investigate public attitudes towards sustainable urban transport in the City of Tshwane in order to develop guidelines for sustainable urban transport. The number of households owning private cars increased approximately from 22.9% in 2003 to 28.5% in 2013. Geographical location is used for quota sampling so that all the seven regions in the Tshwane could be represented. The total sample size of the study is (N=418). Primary data is gathered by a structured questionnaire while the Likert scale method was employed to get public attitudes regarding sustainable urban transport. The City of Tshwane in South Africa had the largest increase in population using private cars between 2003 and 2013 of approximately 11.3%, hence there is a need to shift from private cars to sustainable modes of transport. The findings of the research revealed that private cars are the most frequently used mode of transport in the City of Tshwane. The results also indicated that the majority of the residents of the City of Tshwane had a negative attitude towards sustainable transport modes and it was attributed to safety, reliability and convenience concerns. Finally, the paper provides recommendations on how the city planners need to implement transport initiatives that can improve the service quality and safety features of sustainable transport modes. The findings presented in this study provide useful insights to the city planners to secure sustainable urban transportation in the City of Tshwane.

show abstract

“…The modeling framework used in this study is shown in Figure 1. Transport demand at distance level, mode level, size level, and technology level were estimated in the AIM/Transport model [19]. Energy consumption and emissions were computed from the bottom up based on the energy intensity (energy consumption per activity level) and emission factors.…”

Section: Methodsology and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Market shares of each mode and technology are then calculated using the multinomial logit (MNL-type) equation. This model is widely used for impact assessment in the transportation sector [7,18,19].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identification of Key Factors to Reduce Transport-Related Air Pollutants and CO2 Emissions in Asia

et al. 2020

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Asian countries are major contributors to global air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions, with transportation demand and emissions expected to increase. However, few studies have been performed to evaluate policies that could reduce transport-related emissions in the region. This study explores transport-related CO2 and air pollutant emissions in major Asian nations along with the impacts of transport, climate, and emission control policies using the Asia-Pacific Integrated Model (AIM)/Transport model. Our results show that by 2050, CO2 emissions in developing countries will be 1.4–4.7-fold greater than the levels in 2005, while most air pollutant emissions will show large reductions (mean annual reduction rates of 0.2% to 6.1%). Notably, implementation of transport, emission control, and carbon pricing policies would reduce CO2 emissions by up to 33% and other air pollutants by 43% to 72%, depending on the emission species. An emission control policy represents the strongest approach for short-term and mid-term reduction of air pollutants. A carbon pricing policy would lead to a direct reduction in CO2 emissions; more importantly, air pollutant emissions would also be effectively reduced. Shifting to public transportation in developing countries can also greatly influence emissions reductions. An increase in traffic speed shows relatively small effects, but can be meaningful in Japan.

show abstract

Contribution of the transport sector to climate change mitigation: Insights from a global passenger transport model coupled with a computable general equilibrium model

Cited by 74 publications

References 51 publications

The contribution of transport policies to the mitigation potential and cost of 2 °C and 1.5 °C goals

The contribution of transport policies to the mitigation potential and cost of 2 °C and 1.5 °C goals

Guidelines for Sustainable Urban Transport in Selected Areas of the City of Tshwane, South Africa

Identification of Key Factors to Reduce Transport-Related Air Pollutants and CO2 Emissions in Asia

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About